PuckSleuth
4

Not on an NHL roster · Defense · Shoots R

Justin Holl

Age 34 · 6'4" · 194 lb · Born in Tonka Bay, USA

Cap hit

$900K

0.9% of $104M cap

Term

1 yr

Through 2026-27, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$1.98M

vs. $2.88M market estimate

Contract details from our records; public announcement not yet matched

2025-26 regular season

GP

9

Goals

1

14.3% shooting

Assists

1

0 primary

Points

2

0.22 per game

TOI/GP

15:40

PP 0:00 · PK 0:32

xGF%

57.4

5v5, +5.3 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.08

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

Plus/minus

+5

Blocks 5 · Hits 5

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Apr 16
@ UTA · W 5-3
0011018:040:000:00—8001-1-0.13
Apr 1
@ LAK · OTL 2-1
0010013:070:000:30—100010-0.36
Mar 30
@ SJS · L 5-4
0010114:350:000:00—5010+1-0.18
Mar 28
vs TOR · W 5-1
1011016:210:000:00—6700+1+0.90
Mar 24
vs WSH · W 3-0
0011115:300:000:00—5011+1+0.34

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 135 min · percentile vs. NHL defensemen

xGF%57.4%

94th percentile

Relative xGF%-2.4

31st percentile

HDCF%60.0%

93rd percentile

CF%52.3%

78th percentile

Relative CF%-5.2

9th percentile

FF%48.8%

44th percentile

GF%70.0%

99th percentile

CF/6055.3

45th percentile

CA/6050.4

94th percentile

ixG/600.14

20th percentile

Goals above expected+0.7

63rd percentile

IPP14.3%

4th percentile

PDO107.0

99th percentile

OZS%45.8%

44th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play stylePuck-moving defenseman

Trait percentiles vs. NHL defensemen · 2025-26

Holl is a composed, methodical defender who excels at controlling the puck and moving it cleanly out of trouble. He rarely generates offense and struggles with speed and intensity, limiting his impact at both ends.

Safe passerLow eventDefensive steady
Shooting volume
17
Playmaking
0
Zone entries(est.)
11
Forechecking
60
Physicality
7
Defensive impact
15
Puck management
100
Speed
40

Where he shoots from

Slot 10% · Mid-range 20% · Perimeter 70%(10 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Elite puck management keeps the puck in play and limits turnovers
  • Solid forechecking effort at 60th percentile shows commitment to defensive work
  • Positive expected goals share of 57.4% suggests defensive stability

Watch-outs

  • Minimal playmaking ability at 0th percentile offers little offensive creation
  • Physicality ranks at only 7th percentile, rarely imposing in contact situations
  • Low speed at 40th percentile limits ability to track opposing forwards

Similar style: Kyle Capobianco (DAL), Adam Boqvist

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 9 GP · goals above average

Season total +0.7 goals, or +0.08 per game.

Even strength offense
+0.2
Even strength defense
+0.1
Penalty kill
+0.1
Finishing
+0.7
Playmaking
-0.5

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2025-26STL9112+5715:40—+0.08
2024-25DET73268-74114:48—-0.02
2023-24DET38055+81415:05—-0.10
2022-23TOR8021618+156020:14—-0.05

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL defensemen · production index

202937

At 34, defensemen typically produce 71% of their peak (age 24).

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
20.7 mph
20th pct
20+ mph bursts
5
Hardest shot
71.6 mph
5th pct
Distance
21.0 mi
OZ time
42.7%
66th pct
DZ time
39.3%