PuckSleuth
67

Pittsburgh Penguins · Right wing · Shoots R

Rickard Rakell

Age 33 · 6'1" · 190 lb · Born in Sundbyberg, SWE

Cap hit

$5M

4.8% of $104M cap

Term

2 yrs

Through 2027-28, then UFA

Clause

M-NTC

8-team no-trade list

Surplus value

+$3.859M

vs. $8.859M market estimate

Contract details from our records; public announcement not yet matched

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

1

0 primary

Points

1

1.00 per game

TOI/GP

18:32

PP 4:52 · PK 1:45

xGF%

76.2

5v5, +26.9 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.26

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

1 W · 1 L

Plus/minus

+1

Blocks 0 · Hits 3

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Sep 30
@ PHI · W 7-0
0123018:324:521:451-17500+1-0.26
Apr 29
@ PHI · OTL 1-0
0042022:102:270:001-2100010-0.20
Apr 27
vs PHI · W 3-2
0053020:593:120:000-150000-0.65
Apr 25
@ PHI · W 4-2
1113017:252:120:440-27511+1+0.56
Apr 22
@ PHI · L 5-2
0132124:347:540:00—8320-1+0.18

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 825 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%49.3%

51st percentile

Relative xGF%-2.2

34th percentile

HDCF%50.0%

52nd percentile

CF%49.8%

56th percentile

Relative CF%+0.2

55th percentile

FF%49.5%

52nd percentile

GF%55.0%

75th percentile

CF/6059.8

70th percentile

CA/6060.3

29th percentile

ixG/601.80

96th percentile

Goals above expected-0.8

47th percentile

IPP59.1%

33rd percentile

PDO101.8

76th percentile

OZS%65.9%

87th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleOffensive volume shooter

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Rakell is a high-volume scorer who excels at generating chances through relentless shooting and clean puck handling. He plays a pure offensive game with limited defensive awareness, relying on shot volume rather than physical play or strong positioning away from the puck.

Shoot-first mentalityHigh-volume scorerSkilled puck handler
Shooting volume
81
Playmaking
67
Zone entries(est.)
55
Forechecking
39
Physicality
45
Defensive impact
21
Puck management
81
Speed
75

Where he shoots from

Slot 66% · Mid-range 31% · Perimeter 3%(240 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Elite shot volume at 81st percentile drives scoring chances
  • Outstanding puck management in 81st percentile keeps plays alive offensively
  • Strong speed in 75th percentile helps him create scoring opportunities

Watch-outs

  • Defensive impact ranks in just 21st percentile, a liability away from the puck
  • Forechecking effort in 39th percentile limits his physical engagement
  • Zone entries at 55th percentile suggest he needs cleaner approach plays

Similar style: Alex Tuch (WSH), Adrian Kempe (LAK)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 60 GP · goals above average

Season total +0.8 goals, or +0.01 per game.

Even strength offense
+0.5
Even strength defense
-0.7
Power play
+0.5
Penalty kill
+0.1
Finishing
-0.7
Playmaking
+0.4
Penalties
+1.3
Faceoffs
-0.6

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2026-27PIT1011+1218:32—-0.26
2025-26PIT60242448-216618:5736.0%+0.01
2024-25PIT81353570-2220319:18—+0.09
2023-24PIT70152237+416516:31—-0.09
2022-23PIT82283260-524318:26—-0.02

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 33, forwards typically produce 69% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 34, when the typical level is 63%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2026-27, as of Oct 2

Top speed
20.2 mph
31st pct
20+ mph bursts
2
Hardest shot
67.5 mph
43rd pct
Distance
3.1 mi
OZ time
49.1%
90th pct
DZ time
37.3%