PuckSleuth
43

Washington Capitals · Right wing · Shoots R

Tom Wilson

Age 32 · 6'4" · 230 lb · Born in Toronto, CAN

Cap hit

$6.5M

6.3% of $104M cap

Term

5 yrs

Through 2030-31, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

—

arrives with the trade tools

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2025-26 regular season

GP

72

Goals

30

19.6% shooting

Assists

32

17 primary

Points

62

0.86 per game

TOI/GP

19:28

PP 2:51 · PK 2:06

xGF%

55.5

5v5, +3.4 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.06

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

17 W · 21 L

Plus/minus

+15

Blocks 53 · Hits 179

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Apr 14
@ CBJ · W 2-1
0120016:391:491:13—33100+0.03
Apr 12
vs PIT · W 3-0
0023118:140:512:02—50020-0.26
Apr 11
@ PIT · W 6-3
1140116:440:000:00—7510+2+1.08
Apr 8
@ TOR · W 4-0
0101018:511:243:14—2010+2+0.37
Apr 5
@ NYR · L 8-1
0114219:134:163:51—6000-2-0.04

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 959 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%55.5%

88th percentile

Relative xGF%+6.8

96th percentile

HDCF%53.6%

73rd percentile

CF%53.7%

85th percentile

Relative CF%+5.6

95th percentile

FF%55.8%

93rd percentile

GF%59.8%

90th percentile

CF/6061.0

75th percentile

CA/6052.6

83rd percentile

ixG/601.69

92nd percentile

Goals above expected+2.9

84th percentile

IPP71.2%

70th percentile

PDO101.7

73rd percentile

OZS%46.1%

29th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play stylePhysical defensive winger

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Wilson is a hard-nosed, fast-skating forward who generates chances through aggressive forechecking and strong rush entry ability. He excels defensively and in heavy play, but struggles with puck control and shot selection, leaving points on the table.

Forechecking threatDefensive anchorPhysical presence
Shooting volume
48
Playmaking
66
Zone entries(est.)
71
Forechecking
67
Physicality
71
Defensive impact
78
Puck management
17
Speed
84

Where he shoots from

Slot 58% · Mid-range 23% · Perimeter 19%(236 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Speed in the 84th percentile fuels his dynamic game
  • Defensive impact ranks 78th, anchoring his line
  • Physicality at 71st percentile enforces play in all zones

Watch-outs

  • Puck management at 17th percentile limits his offensive consistency
  • Shooting volume sits 48th despite strong ice advantage
  • Playmaking ability at 66th percentile caps his playmaking ceiling

Similar style: Kasperi Kapanen (EDM), Mackie Samoskevich (SEA)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 72 GP · goals above average

Season total +4.4 goals, or +0.06 per game.

Even strength offense
+1.7
Even strength defense
+0.2
Power play
+0.1
Penalty kill
-0.7
Finishing
+3.1
Playmaking
+0.3
Penalties
-0.4

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2025-26WSH72303262+1515319:28—+0.06
2024-25WSH81333265+2016918:44—+0.14
2023-24WSH74181735-1916918:0636.7%-0.15
2022-23WSH3313922-138217:37—+0.02

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

How players at his position age, and where his contract falls on that curve, arrives with the trade tools.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.8 mph
78th pct
20+ mph bursts
162
Hardest shot
91.2 mph
88th pct
Distance
217.7 mi
OZ time
42.3%
52nd pct
DZ time
40.3%