PuckSleuth
16

New Jersey Devils · Right wing · Shoots R

Connor Brown

Age 32 · 6'0" · 184 lb · Born in Toronto, CAN

Cap hit

$3M

2.9% of $104M cap

Term

3 yrs

Through 2028-29, then UFA

Clause

NTC

Surplus value

+$2.392M

vs. $5.392M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2025-26 regular season

GP

75

Goals

18

15.5% shooting

Assists

25

14 primary

Points

43

0.57 per game

TOI/GP

17:33

PP 1:29 · PK 1:51

xGF%

47.0

5v5, -3 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.04

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

8 W · 18 L

Plus/minus

-1

Blocks 37 · Hits 25

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Apr 14
@ BOS · L 4-0
0010118:101:490:001-08321-1-0.26
Apr 12
vs OTT · W 4-3
1020119:133:211:14—100020+0.52
Apr 11
@ DET · W 5-3
0110018:170:000:530-17520+1-0.20
Apr 9
vs PIT · L 5-2
0120118:090:580:35—10030-1-0.45
Apr 7
vs PHI · L 5-1
0020020:053:531:070-210000-2-0.39

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 999 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%47.0%

32nd percentile

Relative xGF%-2.6

31st percentile

HDCF%40.0%

11th percentile

CF%51.2%

69th percentile

Relative CF%-0.7

45th percentile

FF%51.2%

66th percentile

GF%46.5%

39th percentile

CF/6057.8

62nd percentile

CA/6055.1

70th percentile

ixG/601.22

72nd percentile

Goals above expected-2.3

28th percentile

IPP65.0%

51st percentile

PDO98.4

33rd percentile

OZS%55.1%

58th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleSkilled rush attacker

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Brown excels at creating fast-break scoring chances with his speed and excellent rush ability, but he doesn't shoot much and struggles in the physical, defensive aspects of the game. He gets into the right areas, particularly the slot, yet his limited shot volume caps his impact.

Rush threatPlaymakerSlot sniper
Shooting volume
31
Playmaking
57
Zone entries(est.)
84
Forechecking
11
Physicality
13
Defensive impact
16
Puck management
60
Speed
78

Where he shoots from

Slot 54% · Mid-range 31% · Perimeter 15%(190 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Excellent rush chances at 84th percentile, setting up scoring plays from transition
  • Strong speed at 78th percentile helps him exploit openings and support the attack
  • Solid playmaking at 57th percentile creates opportunities for linemates

Watch-outs

  • Forechecking at just 11th percentile means he doesn't pressure well without the puck
  • Shooting volume ranks only 31st, limiting his own goal-scoring chances despite good positioning
  • Physicality at 13th percentile suggests he avoids contact and battles infrequently

Similar style: Ilya Mikheyev (TBL), Brandon Saad

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 75 GP · goals above average

Season total -2.9 goals, or -0.04 per game.

Even strength offense
-0.2
Even strength defense
-0.9
Power play
+0.6
Penalty kill
+0.1
Finishing
-2.2
Playmaking
-0.7
Penalties
+0.4
Faceoffs
-0.1

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2025-26NJD75182543-111617:33—-0.04
2024-25EDM82131730+912314:01—-0.05
2023-24EDM714812-810812:48—-0.13
2022-23WSH4000-3216:46—-0.34

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 32, forwards typically produce 74% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 34, when the typical level is 63%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
23.2 mph
91st pct
20+ mph bursts
116
Hardest shot
80.8 mph
24th pct
Distance
218.4 mi
OZ time
40.9%
34th pct
DZ time
41.5%