PuckSleuth
47

Minnesota Wild · Center · Shoots R

Michael McCarron

Age 31 · 6'6" · 232 lb · Born in Grosse Pointe, USA

Cap hit

$3.333M

3.2% of $104M cap

Term

6 yrs

Through 2031-32, then UFA

Clause

NMC

Surplus value

−$655K

vs. $2.678M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

1

1 primary

Points

1

1.00 per game

TOI/GP

13:24

PP 0:00 · PK 2:54

xGF%

68.0

5v5, +21 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.37

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

8 W · 7 L

Plus/minus

+1

Blocks 0 · Hits 6

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 1
@ NSH · W 3-1
0146013:240:002:548-7000+1+0.37
May 13
@ COL · OTL 4-3
0001117:310:161:2515-943110-0.24
May 11
vs COL · L 5-2
0024314:150:001:049-775000-0.06
May 9
vs COL · W 5-1
0103013:300:002:546-95721+1-0.24
May 5
@ COL · L 5-2
0023215:480:264:078-1275010-0.41

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 887 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%47.1%

32nd percentile

Relative xGF%-4.6

19th percentile

HDCF%44.3%

22nd percentile

CF%48.4%

41st percentile

Relative CF%-4.5

15th percentile

FF%49.5%

51st percentile

GF%33.3%

6th percentile

CF/6052.2

27th percentile

CA/6055.7

66th percentile

ixG/600.77

31st percentile

Goals above expected-3.4

17th percentile

IPP70.0%

68th percentile

PDO95.0

6th percentile

OZS%23.6%

3rd percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play stylePhysical net-front presence

Trait percentiles vs. NHL centers · 2025-26

McCarron is a bruising forechecking center who wins puck battles and controls play through physicality and puck retention. His playmaking is limited and he doesn't create many chances, making him most valuable in a grinding, defensive-minded role.

Forechecking enforcerPuck retainerPhysical play
Shooting volume
57
Playmaking
11
Zone entries(est.)
39
Forechecking
89
Physicality
90
Defensive impact
57
Puck management
91
Speed
43

Where he shoots from

Slot 50% · Mid-range 29% · Perimeter 21%(171 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Dominant forechecking at 89th percentile creates turnovers and pace
  • Exceptional puck management at 91st percentile limits giveaways
  • Physicality in 90th percentile establishes presence in battles

Watch-outs

  • Playmaking at 11th percentile limits offensive creation
  • Below-average speed at 43rd percentile reduces transition opportunities
  • Modest rush chances at 39th percentile suggests limited entry effectiveness

Similar style: Sam Carrick (BUF), Martin Pospisil (CGY)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 79 GP · goals above average

Season total -10.1 goals, or -0.13 per game.

Even strength offense
-1.1
Even strength defense
+0.3
Power play
-0.1
Penalty kill
-0.8
Finishing
-3.3
Playmaking
-4.5
Penalties
-1.1
Faceoffs
+0.5

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2026-27MIN1011+1413:24—+0.37
2025-26MIN, NSH798917-1610914:0252.5%-0.13
2024-25NSH745914-218013:4554.4%-0.11
2023-24NSH70121022+49412:4653.2%-0.01
2022-23NSH32224-33910:3359.4%-0.13

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 31, forwards typically produce 80% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 36, when the typical level is 49%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.2 mph
48th pct
20+ mph bursts
85
Hardest shot
89.3 mph
79th pct
Distance
181.1 mi
OZ time
40.7%
31st pct
DZ time
41.8%