PuckSleuth
28

Carolina Hurricanes · Left wing · Shoots L

William Carrier

Age 31 · 6'2" · 214 lb · Born in LaSalle, CAN

Cap hit

$2M

1.9% of $104M cap

Term

4 yrs

Through 2029-30, then UFA

Clause

NMC

Surplus value

+$465K

vs. $2.465M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

0

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

0

0.00 per game

TOI/GP

6:46

PP 0:00 · PK 0:00

xGF%

10.2

5v5, -48 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.11

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

Plus/minus

0

Blocks 0 · Hits 2

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Sep 29
vs FLA · OTL 1-0
000206:460:000:00——000+0.11
Jun 14
@ VGK · W 3-0
0013010:260:170:00—75000-0.08
Jun 11
vs VGK · W 4-2
001509:480:000:00—50010-0.10
Jun 9
@ VGK · W 5-3
000418:230:000:001-00100-0.06
Jun 6
@ VGK · OTL 5-4
000206:510:000:00—5020-1-0.14

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 732 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%58.2%

96th percentile

Relative xGF%+1.3

64th percentile

HDCF%65.3%

98th percentile

CF%59.9%

99th percentile

Relative CF%-0.2

50th percentile

FF%59.2%

98th percentile

GF%54.7%

74th percentile

CF/6067.7

93rd percentile

CA/6045.4

100th percentile

ixG/600.76

30th percentile

Goals above expected-2.3

27th percentile

IPP51.4%

16th percentile

PDO98.6

36th percentile

OZS%53.7%

53rd percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleRelentless forechecking forward

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Carrier is a high-motor winger who dominates on the forecheck and rarely loses the puck, making him valuable on the penalty kill and shutdown lines. He creates rush chances at an elite rate but doesn't finish or set up many goals, limiting his offensive ceiling.

Forecheck heavyPuck hawkPenalty killer
Shooting volume
54
Playmaking
57
Zone entries(est.)
89
Forechecking
95
Physicality
87
Defensive impact
90
Puck management
99
Speed
71

Where he shoots from

Slot 52% · Mid-range 32% · Perimeter 16%(131 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Forechecking in the 95th percentile drives constant pressure on opponents
  • Puck management at 99th percentile means minimal turnovers in dangerous spots
  • Defensive impact at 90th percentile makes him reliable in high-risk situations

Watch-outs

  • Scoring and playmaking both at 57th percentile limits offensive production despite volume
  • Shooting stays efficient but comes from mostly safe slot areas, not high-danger chances

Similar style: Max Jones (EDM), Jeff Malott (ANA)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 70 GP · goals above average

Season total +0.1 goals, or +0.00 per game.

Even strength offense
+0.4
Even strength defense
+1.5
Finishing
-2.3
Playmaking
-0.4
Penalties
+0.9

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2026-27CAR1000006:46—+0.11
2025-26CAR7071118+58010:45—+0.00
2024-25CAR43471104811:44—-0.07
2023-24VGK39628+36511:10—-0.03
2022-23VGK5616925+1511812:35—+0.05

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 31, forwards typically produce 80% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 34, when the typical level is 63%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2026-27, as of Oct 2

Top speed
20.8 mph
54th pct
20+ mph bursts
2
Hardest shot
38.0 mph
12th pct
Distance
1.2 mi
OZ time
42.9%
58th pct
DZ time
41.7%