PuckSleuth
71

Not on an NHL roster · Center · Shoots L

Dylan Larkin

Age 30 · 6'1" · 198 lb · Born in Waterford, USA

Cap hit

$8.7M

8.4% of $104M cap

Term

5 yrs

Through 2030-31, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

—

arrives with the trade tools

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2025-26 regular season

GP

74

Goals

34

14.8% shooting

Assists

33

16 primary

Points

67

0.91 per game

TOI/GP

20:11

PP 3:16 · PK 1:31

xGF%

48.2

5v5, -1.8 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.01

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

52.9

789 W · 703 L

Plus/minus

+3

Blocks 33 · Hits 46

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Apr 13
@ TBL · OTL 4-3
0010017:332:440:3410-710020-2-0.25
Apr 11
vs NJD · L 5-3
0240020:081:350:0010-46720-1+0.05
Apr 9
vs PHI · W 6-3
3140019:343:023:4015-103300+2+2.96
Apr 7
vs CBJ · OTL 4-3
1154023:200:512:4611-115000+1+0.96
Apr 5
vs MIN · L 5-4
0110017:551:391:3013-74001-1+0.34

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,029 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%48.2%

41st percentile

Relative xGF%+0.8

59th percentile

HDCF%48.4%

46th percentile

CF%50.3%

63rd percentile

Relative CF%+1.9

74th percentile

FF%50.5%

61st percentile

GF%46.3%

38th percentile

CF/6059.0

66th percentile

CA/6058.2

45th percentile

ixG/602.08

99th percentile

Goals above expected-1.6

34th percentile

IPP67.6%

62nd percentile

PDO98.5

35th percentile

OZS%47.5%

34th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play stylePure offensive scorer

Trait percentiles vs. NHL centers · 2025-26

Larkin is a high-volume shooter who generates chances at an elite rate from in-close, relying on speed and positioning over physical play. He plays a perimeter game that doesn't emphasize defense or physical engagement, making him best suited as an offensive catalyst.

Snap shot artistSpeed scorerSlot specialist
Shooting volume
96
Playmaking
61
Zone entries(est.)
42
Forechecking
9
Physicality
13
Defensive impact
31
Puck management
41
Speed
76

Where he shoots from

Slot 49% · Mid-range 35% · Perimeter 15%(350 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Shooting volume in the 96th percentile, heavily concentrated from the dangerous home plate area
  • Speed and transition ability in the 76th percentile, enabling quick shot creation
  • Even strength goal and shot share at 48.2%, sustaining offensive pressure consistently

Watch-outs

  • Forechecking in the 9th percentile, offering minimal puck pressure away from the puck
  • Physicality in the 13th percentile, limiting his ability to win puck battles
  • Defensive impact in the 31st percentile, a secondary priority in his overall game

Similar style: Frank Nazar (CHI), Jake Guentzel (TBL)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 74 GP · goals above average

Season total +1.0 goals, or +0.01 per game.

Even strength defense
-0.6
Power play
+2.2
Penalty kill
-0.1
Finishing
-1.5
Playmaking
-0.7
Penalties
+0.9
Faceoffs
+0.9

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2025-26DET74343367+322920:1152.9%+0.01
2024-25DET82304070-1623420:0454.5%+0.07
2023-24DET68333669+522120:1055.4%+0.21
2022-23DET80324779-724419:3354.4%+0.11

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

How players at his position age, and where his contract falls on that curve, arrives with the trade tools.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.5 mph
65th pct
20+ mph bursts
186
Hardest shot
91.7 mph
89th pct
Distance
243.0 mi
OZ time
42.7%
57th pct
DZ time
40.2%