PuckSleuth
55

Calgary Flames · Defense · Shoots L

Jake Middleton

Age 30 · 6'3" · 219 lb · Born in Wainwright, CAN

Cap hit

$4.35M

4.2% of $104M cap

Term

3 yrs

Through 2028-29

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$338K

vs. $4.688M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

0

0.00 per game

TOI/GP

20:55

PP 0:00 · PK 5:21

xGF%

50.8

5v5, +0.3 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.23

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

Plus/minus

-2

Blocks 0 · Hits 3

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 1
vs SEA · L 6-1
0023020:550:005:21—000-2-0.23
May 13
@ COL · OTL 4-3
0003321:550:001:07—010-2-0.18
May 11
vs COL · L 5-2
0002012:430:001:03—10000-1-0.16
May 9
vs COL · W 5-1
0002014:260:002:01—0000-0.04
May 5
@ COL · L 5-2
0012218:090:002:40—2000-1+0.02

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,130 min · percentile vs. NHL defensemen

xGF%50.5%

60th percentile

Relative xGF%-0.4

51st percentile

HDCF%53.2%

69th percentile

CF%46.2%

21st percentile

Relative CF%-3.4

19th percentile

FF%47.2%

30th percentile

GF%46.9%

38th percentile

CF/6053.7

34th percentile

CA/6062.6

14th percentile

ixG/600.19

45th percentile

Goals above expected-1.6

14th percentile

IPP36.8%

61st percentile

PDO100.0

47th percentile

OZS%38.9%

22nd percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play stylePuck-moving defenseman

Trait percentiles vs. NHL defensemen · 2025-26

Middleton excels at moving the puck up ice with crisp passes and managing possessions smoothly, while his physical play anchors the defensive side. He gets involved in transition with strong rush chances but doesn't generate much offense from his shot.

Puck moverPhysicalTransitional
Shooting volume
20
Playmaking
60
Zone entries(est.)
73
Forechecking
58
Physicality
75
Defensive impact
63
Puck management
83
Speed
53

Where he shoots from

Slot 10% · Mid-range 27% · Perimeter 63%(96 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Excellent puck management skills at 83rd percentile keep plays moving
  • Physicality ranks 75th percentile, setting a strong defensive tone
  • Rush chances reach 73rd percentile, enabling transition opportunities

Watch-outs

  • Shooting volume in 20th percentile shows minimal offensive output
  • Speed at 53rd percentile limits ability to create space and drive play
  • Playmaking at 60th percentile leaves room to generate more scoring chances

Similar style: Alexandre Carrier (MTL), Jared Spurgeon (MIN)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 75 GP · goals above average

Season total -3.8 goals, or -0.05 per game.

Even strength offense
-0.1
Even strength defense
+0.3
Penalty kill
-0.7
Finishing
-1.6
Playmaking
-0.3
Penalties
-1.3

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2026-27CGY1000-2220:55—-0.23
2025-26MIN7521416+26217:30—-0.05
2024-25MIN6781321+119721:52—-0.01
2023-24MIN8071825-158519:49—-0.01
2022-23MIN7931215+157919:02—-0.06

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL defensemen · production index

202937

At 30, defensemen typically produce 89% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 32, when the typical level is 81%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
21.8 mph
53rd pct
20+ mph bursts
38
Hardest shot
84.9 mph
24th pct
Distance
180.8 mi
OZ time
39.0%
10th pct
DZ time
43.1%