PuckSleuth
21

Edmonton Oilers · Right wing · Shoots L

Mathieu Joseph

Age 29 · 6'1" · 188 lb · Born in Laval, CAN

Cap hit

$1M

1.0% of $104M cap

Term

1 yr

Through 2026-27, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$1.5M

vs. $2.5M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

2

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

1

1 primary

Points

1

0.50 per game

TOI/GP

15:02

PP 0:06 · PK 1:40

xGF%

37.3

5v5, -12.2 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.01

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

Plus/minus

-1

Blocks 3 · Hits 10

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 1
@ VAN · W 9-7
0125215:070:072:01—0110+0.29
Sep 29
vs VAN · OTL 6-5
0005114:570:051:19—6700-1-0.31
Apr 21
@ COL · OTL 2-1
002619:390:050:002-1—20-1+0.06
Apr 19
@ COL · L 2-1
000206:560:000:00——01-1-0.32
Apr 16
@ CGY · L 3-1
001118:330:000:33—6701-1-0.04

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 564 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%49.5%

53rd percentile

Relative xGF%-3.4

26th percentile

HDCF%48.6%

47th percentile

CF%48.7%

44th percentile

Relative CF%-1.4

37th percentile

FF%49.5%

52nd percentile

GF%38.9%

16th percentile

CF/6048.1

10th percentile

CA/6050.8

89th percentile

ixG/600.56

9th percentile

Goals above expected-3.3

18th percentile

IPP64.3%

50th percentile

PDO96.8

16th percentile

OZS%46.6%

31st percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleForechecking grinder

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Joseph is a tireless physical presence who dominates on the forecheck and plays sound defense, but rarely generates offense with the puck. He limits opponents through relentless effort rather than skill with the puck in tight spaces.

hard workerphysicaldefensive
Shooting volume
7
Playmaking
21
Zone entries(est.)
22
Forechecking
88
Physicality
86
Defensive impact
83
Puck management
86
Speed
73

Where he shoots from

Slot 55% · Mid-range 27% · Perimeter 18%(67 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Elite forechecking and pressure creation at 88th percentile
  • Exceptional puck management and possession at 86th percentile
  • Dominant physical play at 86th percentile

Watch-outs

  • Minimal shooting volume at just 7th percentile limits scoring
  • Limited playmaking ability at 21st percentile restricts offensive creation
  • Struggles to generate rush chances at 22nd percentile

Similar style: Landon Slaggert, Joel Kiviranta (DAL)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 51 GP · goals above average

Season total -3.2 goals, or -0.06 per game.

Even strength offense
-1.1
Even strength defense
+1.0
Penalty kill
+0.3
Finishing
-3.2
Playmaking
-2.1
Penalties
+2.1
Faceoffs
-0.1

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2026-27EDM2011-1215:02—-0.01
2025-26LAK, STL512911-73611:59—-0.06
2024-25STL6041014-66911:5451.6%-0.06
2023-24OTT72112435-412416:2833.3%-0.04
2022-23OTT5631518+56614:01—-0.05

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 29, forwards typically produce 89% of their peak (age 24).

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2026-27, as of Oct 2

Top speed
19.5 mph
12th pct
20+ mph bursts
0
Hardest shot
63.7 mph
35th pct
Distance
2.5 mi
OZ time
39.9%
39th pct
DZ time
40.7%