PuckSleuth
71

Tampa Bay Lightning · Center · Shoots L

Anthony Cirelli

Age 29 · 6'1" · 190 lb · Born in Etobicoke, CAN

Cap hit

$6.25M

6.0% of $104M cap

Term

5 yrs

Through 2030-31, then UFA

Clause

NTC

Surplus value

—

arrives with the trade tools

Contract details from our records; public announcement not yet matched

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

0

0.00 per game

TOI/GP

19:56

PP 3:57 · PK 1:14

xGF%

73.5

5v5, +17 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.18

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

9 W · 11 L

Plus/minus

0

Blocks 2 · Hits 1

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 1
@ NYR · L 5-1
0031219:563:571:149-1133200-0.18
May 3
vs MTL · L 2-1
0002117:500:001:289-85020-1+0.15
May 1
@ MTL · W 1-0
0002023:110:003:2812-1062010-0.14
Apr 29
vs MTL · L 3-2
0030220:491:452:029-940000-0.49
Apr 26
@ MTL · W 3-2
0002318:581:026:3012-17010+1-0.35

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 870 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%56.5%

92nd percentile

Relative xGF%+4.0

83rd percentile

HDCF%60.4%

94th percentile

CF%56.1%

92nd percentile

Relative CF%+3.8

89th percentile

FF%55.1%

91st percentile

GF%67.4%

98th percentile

CF/6069.3

95th percentile

CA/6054.2

75th percentile

ixG/601.42

84th percentile

Goals above expected+2.4

81st percentile

IPP55.0%

23rd percentile

PDO105.2

97th percentile

OZS%56.5%

61st percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play stylePossession playmaker

Trait percentiles vs. NHL centers · 2025-26

Cirelli excels at controlling the puck and creating scoring chances through smart passes, maintaining strong offensive balance on the ice. However, his defensive impact lags and he struggles to generate aggressive forecheck pressure or win physical battles.

High possessionCreative passerSlot sniper
Shooting volume
52
Playmaking
70
Zone entries(est.)
33
Forechecking
37
Physicality
34
Defensive impact
13
Puck management
78
Speed
53

Where he shoots from

Slot 65% · Mid-range 26% · Perimeter 9%(184 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Excellent puck management (78th percentile) limits turnovers and maintains possession
  • Strong playmaking (70th percentile) generates consistent scoring chances for teammates
  • Slot shots at 65% show refined finishing positioning around the net

Watch-outs

  • Defensive impact ranks just 13th percentile, limiting effectiveness in own zone
  • Low physicality (34th percentile) means limited net-front presence and board play
  • Rush chances generation (33rd percentile) indicates difficulty transitioning play quickly

Similar style: Ridly Greig (OTT), Gustav Nyquist

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 71 GP · goals above average

Season total +4.3 goals, or +0.06 per game.

Even strength offense
+2.5
Even strength defense
-0.2
Power play
+0.1
Penalty kill
-0.2
Finishing
+2.5
Playmaking
+0.3
Penalties
-0.2
Faceoffs
-0.4

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2026-27TBL10000319:56—-0.18
2025-26TBL71232952+3812517:1948.2%+0.06
2024-25TBL80273259+3016018:4150.1%+0.05
2023-24TBL79202545+212918:3149.2%+0.02
2022-23TBL58111829+1311116:3451.4%-0.02

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

How players at his position age, and where his contract falls on that curve, arrives with the trade tools.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.4 mph
61st pct
20+ mph bursts
88
Hardest shot
85.4 mph
54th pct
Distance
177.8 mi
OZ time
40.5%
27th pct
DZ time
41.7%