Florida Panthers · Left wing · Shoots L

Matthew Tkachuk

Age 28 · 6'2" · 202 lb · Born in Scottsdale, USA

Cap hit

$9.5M

9.1% of $104M cap

Term

4 yrs

Through 2029-30, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$200K

vs. $9.7M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

Goals

25.0% shooting

Assists

0 primary

Points

0.50 per game

TOI/GP

20:54

PP 8:48 · PK 0:00

xGF%

58.5

5v5, +5.2 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.14

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

Plus/minus

Blocks 1 · Hits 3

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

Game	G	A	SOG	HIT	BLK	TOI	PP	PK	FO	OZS%	GV	TK	+/-	GS
Oct 1 @ SJS · OTL 4-3	1	0	2	2	1	22:47	9:10	0:00	—	67	1	0	0	+0.53
Sep 29 @ CAR · W 1-0	0	0	2	1	0	19:01	8:25	0:00	—	50	3	0	0	-0.24
Apr 15 vs DET · W 8-1	0	2	0	0	0	13:19	0:00	0:00	—	100	1	0	+1	+0.42
Apr 5 @ PIT · L 5-2	0	0	3	0	0	21:09	9:39	1:29	—	100	0	1	0	-0.85
Apr 4 @ PIT · L 9-4	0	1	0	3	0	15:41	0:00	1:02	—	25	1	0	-1	-0.18

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 411 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%53.3%

77th percentile

Relative xGF%+6.7

96th percentile

HDCF%47.5%

39th percentile

CF%56.1%

93rd percentile

Relative CF%+5.4

95th percentile

FF%54.2%

85th percentile

GF%46.2%

37th percentile

CF/6064.0

86th percentile

CA/6050.0

92nd percentile

ixG/601.82

96th percentile

Goals above expected+0.5

65th percentile

IPP88.9%

97th percentile

PDO98.3

32nd percentile

OZS%49.6%

41st percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleElite offensive playmaker

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Tkachuk is a high-volume shooter and elite passer who creates elite scoring chances at an exceptional rate. His game is built on offensive instinct and execution, but he struggles with puck control and can be caught out of position defensively.

High-volume scorerCreative facilitatorOffensive driver

Shooting volume: 96
Playmaking: 95
Zone entries(est.): 26
Forechecking: 38
Physicality: 22
Defensive impact: 53
Puck management: 7
Speed: 2

Where he shoots from

Slot 63% · Mid-range 27% · Perimeter 10%(144 unblocked shots)

Strengths

Prolific shooter ranking 96th percentile among wingers
Exceptional playmaking at 95th percentile creates chances for others
Generates quality chances with 62% of shots from the slot

Watch-outs

Puck management at just 7th percentile leads to turnovers
Speed in 2nd percentile limits transition play and backcheck ability
Forechecking at 38th percentile reduces defensive contribution

Similar style: Jared McCann (SEA), Matvei Michkov (PHI)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 31 GP · goals above average

Season total +5.4 goals, or +0.17 per game.

Even strength offense: +0.5
Even strength defense: -0.1
Power play: +1.0
Penalty kill: +0.1
Finishing: +0.6
Playmaking: +2.7
Penalties: +0.6

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	TOI/GP	FO%	GS/GP
2026-27	FLA	2	1	0	1	0	4	20:54	—	+0.14
2025-26	FLA	31	13	21	34	-6	88	18:18	—	+0.17
2024-25	FLA	52	22	35	57	-3	156	18:14	—	+0.22
2023-24	FLA	80	26	62	88	+19	280	18:38	—	+0.14
2022-23	FLA	79	40	69	109	+29	322	20:26	—	+0.25

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 28, forwards typically produce 93% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 31, when the typical level is 80%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2026-27, as of Oct 2

Top speed: 19.5 mph; 13th pct
20+ mph bursts: 0
Hardest shot: 66.1 mph; 42nd pct
Distance: 2.8 mi
OZ time: 46.9%; 76th pct
DZ time: 36.5%