PuckSleuth
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Toronto Maple Leafs · Center · Shoots L

Auston Matthews

Age 29 · 6'3" · 214 lb · Born in San Ramon, USA

Cap hit

$13.25M

12.7% of $104M cap

Term

2 yrs

Through 2027-28, then UFA

Clause

NMC

Surplus value

—

arrives with the trade tools

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

2

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

0

0.00 per game

TOI/GP

21:19

PP 4:25 · PK 0:31

xGF%

61.9

5v5, +13.8 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.34

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

13 W · 10 L

Plus/minus

-2

Blocks 1 · Hits 1

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Sep 30
vs NYI · W 2-1
0011120:044:450:008-55000-1-0.60
Sep 29
vs MTL · L 3-2
0030022:344:041:015-510000-1-0.09
Mar 12
vs ANA · W 6-4
1021013:182:551:355-20010+1.08
Mar 10
@ MTL · L 3-1
0023122:282:232:1013-775010-0.63
Mar 7
vs TBL · L 5-2
0060019:174:110:089-35000-2-0.65

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 908 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%48.1%

40th percentile

Relative xGF%+2.3

72nd percentile

HDCF%47.5%

39th percentile

CF%46.1%

22nd percentile

Relative CF%+1.3

69th percentile

FF%47.0%

28th percentile

GF%51.7%

62nd percentile

CF/6055.3

47th percentile

CA/6064.6

9th percentile

ixG/601.93

98th percentile

Goals above expected-2.3

28th percentile

IPP66.7%

55th percentile

PDO101.6

72nd percentile

OZS%58.8%

71st percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleElite scoring center

Trait percentiles vs. NHL centers · 2025-26

Matthews is a pure goal scorer who dominates through elite shot volume and puck management, playing a perimeter-based game that emphasizes volume and positioning over speed or physicality. He drives play from the offensive zone but lacks the defensive consistency and forechecking engagement typical of complete two-way centers.

High-volume scorerSlot specialistPuck control
Shooting volume
99
Playmaking
68
Zone entries(est.)
70
Forechecking
29
Physicality
44
Defensive impact
42
Puck management
85
Speed
40

Where he shoots from

Slot 51% · Mid-range 37% · Perimeter 12%(329 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • 99th percentile shooting volume makes him a constant scoring threat
  • 85th percentile puck management keeps possession and creates chances
  • 71% of shots from slot and mid-range show elite scoring positioning

Watch-outs

  • 29th percentile forechecking limits his ability to drive play from deeper areas
  • 40th percentile speed constrains his rush chances and transition game
  • 42nd percentile defensive impact means limited downside prevention

Similar style: Joel Eriksson Ek (MIN), Tomas Hertl (VGK)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 60 GP · goals above average

Season total +0.6 goals, or +0.01 per game.

Even strength offense
+0.2
Even strength defense
-0.8
Power play
+0.4
Penalty kill
+0.1
Finishing
-2.1
Playmaking
+0.2
Penalties
+0.8
Faceoffs
+1.9

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2026-27TOR2000-2421:19—-0.34
2025-26TOR60272653-422720:4859.7%+0.01
2024-25TOR67334578+1126120:2856.8%+0.07
2023-24TOR816938107+3136920:5853.4%+0.38
2022-23TOR74404585+3132720:1752.4%+0.22

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

How players at his position age, and where his contract falls on that curve, arrives with the trade tools.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2026-27, as of Oct 2

Top speed
21.5 mph
78th pct
20+ mph bursts
3
Hardest shot
78.0 mph
74th pct
Distance
7.0 mi
OZ time
46.9%
76th pct
DZ time
37.1%