PuckSleuth
93

Detroit Red Wings · Right wing · Shoots R

Alex DeBrincat

Age 28 · 5'8" · 177 lb · Born in Farmington Hills, USA

Cap hit

$7.875M

7.6% of $104M cap

Term

1 yr

Through 2026-27

Clause

None

Surplus value

—

arrives with the trade tools

Contract details from our records; public announcement not yet matched

2025-26 regular season

GP

82

Goals

41

14.3% shooting

Assists

44

24 primary

Points

85

1.04 per game

TOI/GP

18:30

PP 3:20 · PK 0:02

xGF%

52.8

5v5, +2.9 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.12

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

38.0

19 W · 31 L

Plus/minus

+8

Blocks 39 · Hits 38

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Apr 15
@ FLA · L 8-1
0110018:383:120:00—010-1+0.16
Apr 13
@ TBL · OTL 4-3
1060117:513:290:001-0001-1-0.10
Apr 11
vs NJD · L 5-3
0010121:121:340:000-25020-1-0.39
Apr 9
vs PHI · W 6-3
1031016:063:020:04—10000+1+0.54
Apr 7
vs CBJ · OTL 4-3
0152017:540:510:00—7521+1-0.15

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,133 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%52.8%

75th percentile

Relative xGF%+7.1

97th percentile

HDCF%54.9%

78th percentile

CF%51.2%

69th percentile

Relative CF%+3.4

86th percentile

FF%53.9%

85th percentile

GF%56.2%

80th percentile

CF/6062.9

83rd percentile

CA/6059.9

31st percentile

ixG/602.06

99th percentile

Goals above expected+2.0

80th percentile

IPP76.3%

87th percentile

PDO100.9

65th percentile

OZS%49.4%

40th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleProlific finisher

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

DeBrincat is a relentless scorer who generates chances at an elite rate and finds open teammates with precision. He plays a perimeter-oriented game and lacks the physicality or defensive hustle to impact play away from the puck.

High-volume shooterPlaymaking wingerFinesse player
Shooting volume
98
Playmaking
86
Zone entries(est.)
60
Forechecking
21
Physicality
15
Defensive impact
58
Puck management
59
Speed
64

Where he shoots from

Slot 38% · Mid-range 47% · Perimeter 14%(443 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Elite shooting volume at 98th percentile, converting 41 goals on the season
  • Excellent playmaking at 86th percentile, recording 44 assists despite limited net-front time
  • Above-average puck control at 59th percentile, maintaining possession on the rush

Watch-outs

  • Minimal forechecking impact at 21st percentile, rarely winning pucks in deep areas
  • Well below average physicality at 15th percentile limits board play and net-front presence
  • Defensive impact at 58th percentile suggests he doesn't consistently disrupt opponents

Similar style: Cole Caufield (MTL), Pavel Dorofeyev (NYR)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 82 GP · goals above average

Season total +9.6 goals, or +0.12 per game.

Even strength offense
+1.4
Even strength defense
-0.3
Power play
+2.3
Finishing
+2.2
Playmaking
+3.1
Penalties
+0.9
Faceoffs
-0.1

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2025-26DET82414485+828718:3038.0%+0.12
2024-25DET82393170-1324417:5244.8%+0.16
2023-24DET82274067+123717:54—+0.06
2022-23OTT82273966-3126319:00—+0.08

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

How players at his position age, and where his contract falls on that curve, arrives with the trade tools.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.6 mph
70th pct
20+ mph bursts
115
Hardest shot
88.1 mph
70th pct
Distance
252.1 mi
OZ time
43.5%
70th pct
DZ time
38.7%