PuckSleuth
11

Boston Bruins · Center · Shoots L

Casey Mittelstadt

Age 27 · 6'1" · 202 lb · Born in Eden Prairie, USA

Cap hit

$5.75M

5.5% of $104M cap

Term

1 yr

Through 2026-27, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

−$320K

vs. $5.43M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

0

0.00 per game

TOI/GP

14:28

PP 0:31 · PK 0:00

xGF%

68.0

5v5, +19.7 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.32

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

Plus/minus

0

Blocks 0 · Hits 1

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Sep 29
vs NYR · W 3-0
0031014:280:310:00—40000-0.32
May 1
vs BUF · L 4-1
0013117:240:000:00—5010-1-0.25
Apr 28
@ BUF · W 2-1
0024017:251:140:00—5001+1-0.19
Apr 26
vs BUF · L 6-1
0020014:370:390:00—2500-1-0.36
Apr 23
vs BUF · L 3-1
0000014:442:160:01—10010-1-0.13

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 896 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%48.3%

42nd percentile

Relative xGF%+0.7

57th percentile

HDCF%42.7%

18th percentile

CF%50.4%

63rd percentile

Relative CF%+1.7

72nd percentile

FF%51.1%

66th percentile

GF%58.1%

86th percentile

CF/6057.9

62nd percentile

CA/6057.0

55th percentile

ixG/600.79

33rd percentile

Goals above expected+3.2

86th percentile

IPP55.6%

25th percentile

PDO103.9

92nd percentile

OZS%42.7%

23rd percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play stylePlaymaking center

Trait percentiles vs. NHL centers · 2025-26

Mittelstadt is a pass-first creator who generates chances through skilled linemate setup rather than shot generation. He struggles with defensive responsibility and physical engagement, limiting his overall impact at five-on-five.

Pass-firstLow-shot centerDefensive liability
Shooting volume
27
Playmaking
77
Zone entries(est.)
56
Forechecking
14
Physicality
5
Defensive impact
34
Puck management
4
Speed
42

Where he shoots from

Slot 46% · Mid-range 38% · Perimeter 16%(135 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Strong playmaking ability puts him in the 77th percentile for creating chances
  • Slot-heavy shot profile concentrates his limited 135 unblocked shots where they matter most
  • Adequate rush chance creation at 56th percentile keeps play moving up ice

Watch-outs

  • Bottom 5th percentile in puck management leads to turnovers and breakdowns
  • Minimal physicality at 5th percentile means he avoids engagement in loose pucks
  • Forechecking in just 14th percentile leaves defensive assignments unfinished

Similar style: Tyler Seguin (DAL), Calum Ritchie (NYI)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 71 GP · goals above average

Season total +5.1 goals, or +0.07 per game.

Even strength defense
-0.5
Power play
-0.2
Finishing
+3.3
Playmaking
+1.2
Penalties
+1.3

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2026-27BOS10000314:28—-0.32
2025-26BOS71152742+128015:1048.9%+0.07
2024-25BOS, COL81152540-2910517:0444.2%-0.02
2023-24BUF, COL80183957+1012717:4447.1%+0.03
2022-23BUF82154459-813515:4445.9%+0.07

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 27, forwards typically produce 96% of their peak (age 24).

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2026-27, as of Oct 2

Top speed
20.6 mph
45th pct
20+ mph bursts
1
Hardest shot
75.8 mph
66th pct
Distance
2.4 mi
OZ time
39.8%
35th pct
DZ time
39.6%