PuckSleuth
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Winnipeg Jets · Defense · Shoots L

Dylan Samberg

Age 27 · 6'4" · 216 lb · Born in Saginaw, USA

Cap hit

$5.75M

5.5% of $104M cap

Term

2 yrs

Through 2027-28, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

−$1.125M

vs. $4.625M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2025-26 regular season

GP

66

Goals

1

1.1% shooting

Assists

13

3 primary

Points

14

0.21 per game

TOI/GP

21:49

PP 0:07 · PK 2:32

xGF%

49.7

5v5, -5.2 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.10

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

Plus/minus

+5

Blocks 115 · Hits 53

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Apr 16
vs SJS · L 6-1
0040119:170:001:11—6720-1-0.23
Apr 14
@ UTA · L 5-3
0002023:180:015:05—2001-1-0.09
Apr 13
@ VGK · L 6-2
0021018:470:005:27—5000+1-0.30
Apr 11
vs PHI · L 7-1
0020220:220:072:49—2520-2-0.10
Apr 9
@ STL · W 3-2
0001226:520:004:23—10010-1-0.01

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,197 min · percentile vs. NHL defensemen

xGF%49.7%

55th percentile

Relative xGF%+2.6

79th percentile

HDCF%47.2%

38th percentile

CF%51.2%

69th percentile

Relative CF%+2.0

76th percentile

FF%52.2%

77th percentile

GF%49.4%

50th percentile

CF/6055.7

46th percentile

CA/6053.0

83rd percentile

ixG/600.17

37th percentile

Goals above expected-2.3

9th percentile

IPP21.4%

11th percentile

PDO99.3

38th percentile

OZS%35.8%

12th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleShutdown defenseman

Trait percentiles vs. NHL defensemen · 2025-26

Samberg is a lockdown defender with elite ability to suppress chances and control possession through smart puck management. He rarely creates offense and struggles to generate scoring chances, making him a pure defensive specialist who plays heavy minutes.

shutdownpuck controllerlow event
Shooting volume
52
Playmaking
13
Zone entries(est.)
62
Forechecking
36
Physicality
51
Defensive impact
93
Puck management
84
Speed
47

Where he shoots from

Slot 8% · Mid-range 19% · Perimeter 72%(134 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Defensive impact at 93rd percentile makes him an elite chance suppressor
  • Puck management at 84th percentile keeps possession under control
  • Rush chances at 62nd percentile shows solid transition speed

Watch-outs

  • Playmaking at 13th percentile means minimal offensive creation
  • Forechecking at 36th percentile limits his setup chances
  • Speed at 47th percentile suggests he's not a pace driver

Similar style: Scott Mayfield (NYI), Jared Spurgeon (MIN)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 66 GP · goals above average

Season total -6.4 goals, or -0.10 per game.

Even strength offense
-1.2
Even strength defense
+1.1
Power play
-0.2
Penalty kill
-0.6
Finishing
-2.3
Playmaking
-3.3

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2025-26WPG6611314+58721:49—-0.10
2024-25WPG6061420+349521:08—+0.08
2023-24WPG7811718+167715:38—-0.01
2022-23WPG63268+104914:56—-0.00

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL defensemen · production index

202937

At 27, defensemen typically produce 97% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 28, when the typical level is 95%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
21.7 mph
51st pct
20+ mph bursts
27
Hardest shot
90.1 mph
48th pct
Distance
198.5 mi
OZ time
39.9%
24th pct
DZ time
42.3%