PuckSleuth
9

Winnipeg Jets · Left wing · Shoots L

Alex Iafallo

Age 32 · 6'0" · 201 lb · Born in Eden, USA

Cap hit

$3.667M

3.5% of $104M cap

Term

2 yrs

Through 2027-28, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$338K

vs. $4.005M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2025-26 regular season

GP

79

Goals

13

11.4% shooting

Assists

16

7 primary

Points

29

0.37 per game

TOI/GP

15:35

PP 1:13 · PK 1:07

xGF%

45.9

5v5, -12.6 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.09

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

17 W · 23 L

Plus/minus

+3

Blocks 56 · Hits 120

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Apr 11
vs PHI · L 7-1
0031215:030:072:110-16700-1-0.34
Apr 9
@ STL · W 3-2
1030119:280:214:05——000+0.56
Apr 6
vs SEA · W 6-2
0142020:450:000:001-110010+1-0.76
Apr 4
@ CBJ · W 2-1
0034119:450:540:00—10000+2-0.39
Apr 2
@ DAL · L 3-0
0010015:581:350:00—6700-1-0.30

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,006 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%45.9%

25th percentile

Relative xGF%-2.5

32nd percentile

HDCF%43.0%

19th percentile

CF%49.5%

53rd percentile

Relative CF%+0.7

60th percentile

FF%48.5%

42nd percentile

GF%47.7%

42nd percentile

CF/6054.2

39th percentile

CA/6055.3

69th percentile

ixG/600.89

42nd percentile

Goals above expected-1.9

31st percentile

IPP48.8%

10th percentile

PDO99.9

52nd percentile

OZS%56.9%

64th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play stylePuck-managing penalty killer

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Iafallo excels at controlling the puck and playing sound positional defense, making him valuable in defensive situations. He generates few chances himself and doesn't push pace, limiting his impact at even strength.

Defensive specialistPuck handlerLow volume
Shooting volume
24
Playmaking
24
Zone entries(est.)
28
Forechecking
62
Physicality
65
Defensive impact
63
Puck management
94
Speed
45

Where he shoots from

Slot 63% · Mid-range 23% · Perimeter 14%(168 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Exceptional puck management ranks 94th percentile among wingers
  • Forechecking effort in 62nd percentile supports defensive role
  • Defensive impact at 63rd percentile, reliable positional player

Watch-outs

  • Shooting volume at just 24th percentile limits goal production
  • Playmaking ranks 24th percentile, few set-ups created
  • Rush chances at 28th percentile shows limited pace generation

Similar style: Ondrej Palat (NYI), Michael Amadio (OTT)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 79 GP · goals above average

Season total -7.4 goals, or -0.09 per game.

Even strength offense
-1.5
Even strength defense
+0.2
Power play
-0.4
Finishing
-1.8
Playmaking
-3.7
Penalties
-0.2
Faceoffs
-0.1

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2025-26WPG79131629+311415:35—-0.09
2024-25WPG82151631+2110913:17—+0.03
2023-24WPG82111627+1412015:19—-0.07
2022-23LAK59142236+1413316:18—+0.06

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 32, forwards typically produce 74% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 33, when the typical level is 69%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.4 mph
57th pct
20+ mph bursts
71
Hardest shot
88.8 mph
76th pct
Distance
195.3 mi
OZ time
41.2%
38th pct
DZ time
41.0%