PuckSleuth
17

Colorado Avalanche · Center · Shoots L

Parker Kelly

Age 27 · 6'1" · 185 lb · Born in Camrose, CAN

Cap hit

$1.7M

1.6% of $104M cap

Term

4 yrs

Through 2029-30, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

—

arrives with the trade tools

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

1

100.0% shooting

Assists

1

0 primary

Points

2

2.00 per game

TOI/GP

12:53

PP 0:00 · PK 3:28

xGF%

81.9

5v5, +23.5 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.90

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

0 W · 2 L

Plus/minus

+2

Blocks 0 · Hits 3

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Sep 30
vs LAK · W 8-4
1113012:530:003:280-25020+2+0.90
May 26
@ VGK · L 2-1
0023011:480:001:55—0200-0.31
May 24
@ VGK · L 5-3
0101012:520:002:13—5010-1+0.44
May 22
vs VGK · L 3-1
000009:520:002:251-12500-1+0.01
May 20
vs VGK · L 4-2
001108:570:000:200-233100-0.20

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 845 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%58.4%

96th percentile

Relative xGF%+0.4

54th percentile

HDCF%63.3%

97th percentile

CF%56.9%

95th percentile

Relative CF%+0.3

55th percentile

FF%56.2%

94th percentile

GF%60.6%

92nd percentile

CF/6066.8

92nd percentile

CA/6050.6

90th percentile

ixG/600.89

42nd percentile

Goals above expected+8.5

96th percentile

IPP80.0%

91st percentile

PDO100.6

62nd percentile

OZS%46.6%

31st percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleDefensive, physical center

Trait percentiles vs. NHL centers · 2025-26

Kelly is a relentless two-way center who wins battles and limits opponent chances, but his playmaking and puck skills are not elite. He compensates with hard work on the forecheck and strong positional defense.

Defensive anchorPhysicalForechecking
Shooting volume
49
Playmaking
21
Zone entries(est.)
69
Forechecking
80
Physicality
86
Defensive impact
92
Puck management
45
Speed
56

Where he shoots from

Slot 43% · Mid-range 35% · Perimeter 22%(153 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Elite defensive impact (92nd percentile) and net-positive 5v5 play despite modest scoring
  • Exceptional physicality (86th) and forechecking (80th) create turnovers and offensive opportunity
  • Good rush chance creation (69th percentile) with efficient shot placement, 43% from the slot

Watch-outs

  • Playmaking sits at just 21st percentile, limiting his offensive creation
  • Below-average puck management (45th) and shooting volume (49th) restrict play-driving ability

Similar style: Colton Dach (EDM), Casey Cizikas (NYI)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 82 GP · goals above average

Season total +6.9 goals, or +0.08 per game.

Even strength offense
+0.3
Even strength defense
+1.9
Power play
-0.1
Penalty kill
-0.6
Finishing
+8.5
Playmaking
-3.1
Penalties
+0.6
Faceoffs
-0.5

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2026-27COL1112+2112:53—+0.90
2025-26COL82211435+1810412:4236.1%+0.08
2024-25COL8081119-19912:4543.0%-0.07
2023-24OTT8081018-88611:42—-0.06
2022-23OTT55134-95910:30—-0.15

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

How players at his position age, and where his contract falls on that curve, arrives with the trade tools.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2026-27, as of Oct 2

Top speed
20.0 mph
26th pct
20+ mph bursts
1
Hardest shot
87.6 mph
94th pct
Distance
2.1 mi
OZ time
35.3%
8th pct
DZ time
45.3%