PuckSleuth
5

Dallas Stars · Defense · Shoots R

Nils Lundkvist

Age 26 · 6'1" · 194 lb · Born in Pitea, SWE

Cap hit

$1.75M

1.7% of $104M cap

Term

2 yrs

Through 2027-28, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$2M

vs. $3.75M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

0

0.00 per game

TOI/GP

15:22

PP 0:00 · PK 1:25

xGF%

49.3

5v5, -3 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.14

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

Plus/minus

-2

Blocks 1 · Hits 0

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 2
vs STL · L 4-0
0020115:220:001:25—010-2-0.14
Apr 25
@ MIN · OTL 3-2
0010110:320:000:11—67000-0.20
Apr 22
@ MIN · W 4-3
0001223:060:010:00—2020+1+0.18
Apr 20
vs MIN · W 4-2
0200115:250:320:24—6010+2+1.13
Apr 18
vs MIN · L 6-1
0011217:550:030:11—000-2-0.04

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 812 min · percentile vs. NHL defensemen

xGF%52.3%

75th percentile

Relative xGF%-0.0

53rd percentile

HDCF%52.9%

68th percentile

CF%49.2%

51st percentile

Relative CF%+0.8

67th percentile

FF%49.4%

51st percentile

GF%59.7%

90th percentile

CF/6052.8

28th percentile

CA/6054.6

72nd percentile

ixG/600.15

27th percentile

Goals above expected+1.0

68th percentile

IPP29.7%

33rd percentile

PDO103.8

93rd percentile

OZS%42.1%

31st percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleSpeed-oriented two-way defenseman

Trait percentiles vs. NHL defensemen · 2025-26

Lundkvist plays a fast, reactive game that keeps play balanced at even strength but rarely initiates offense or defensive pressure. His main value comes from his skating ability and neutral positioning rather than creating chances or disrupting opponents.

SkaterTransition-orientedBalanced impact
Shooting volume
42
Playmaking
42
Zone entries(est.)
27
Forechecking
21
Physicality
23
Defensive impact
46
Puck management
18
Speed
70

Where he shoots from

Slot 7% · Mid-range 19% · Perimeter 74%(74 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • 70th percentile speed makes him effective in transition and gap control
  • 52.3% expected goals share shows solid defensive positioning at 5v5
  • 46th percentile defensive impact contributes reliable steady play

Watch-outs

  • 18th percentile puck management limits his ability to advance the puck cleanly
  • 27th percentile rush chances suggest he struggles to create attacking entries
  • 21st percentile forechecking means he rarely initiates defensive pressure in the offensive zone

Similar style: Spencer Stastney (EDM), Tom Willander (VAN)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 52 GP · goals above average

Season total +0.3 goals, or +0.01 per game.

Even strength offense
+0.1
Even strength defense
+0.5
Penalty kill
+0.1
Finishing
+1.0
Playmaking
-0.8
Penalties
-0.6

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2026-27DAL1000-2215:22—-0.14
2025-26DAL523811+124616:29—+0.01
2024-25DAL39055+45215:01—-0.10
2023-24DAL5921719+137314:06—+0.01
2022-23DAL6061016-59416:19—-0.00

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL defensemen · production index

202937

At 26, defensemen typically produce 98% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 27, when the typical level is 97%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.2 mph
71st pct
20+ mph bursts
36
Hardest shot
95.5 mph
82nd pct
Distance
125.2 mi
OZ time
42.0%
58th pct
DZ time
39.3%