PuckSleuth
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Nashville Predators · Defense · Shoots R

Ilya Lyubushkin

Age 32 · 6'2" · 206 lb · Born in Moscow, RUS

Cap hit

$3.25M

3.1% of $104M cap

Term

1 yr

Through 2026-27, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$850K

vs. $4.1M market estimate

Contract details from our records; public announcement not yet matched

2025-26 regular season

GP

53

Goals

1

3.0% shooting

Assists

8

4 primary

Points

9

0.17 per game

TOI/GP

15:44

PP 0:01 · PK 1:28

xGF%

46.4

5v5, -1.9 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.06

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

Plus/minus

+1

Blocks 90 · Hits 68

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Apr 30
@ MIN · L 5-2
0113114:320:000:00—0110-0.16
Apr 28
vs MIN · L 4-2
0001112:300:000:07—100000-0.01
Apr 15
@ BUF · W 4-3
0111215:390:002:21—50010+0.01
Apr 13
@ TOR · W 6-5
0010116:480:010:34—000-1-0.04
Apr 11
vs NYR · W 2-0
0010216:400:002:28——100-0.05

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 737 min · percentile vs. NHL defensemen

xGF%46.4%

27th percentile

Relative xGF%-7.2

7th percentile

HDCF%55.3%

78th percentile

CF%42.5%

4th percentile

Relative CF%-6.2

7th percentile

FF%44.2%

9th percentile

GF%48.9%

48th percentile

CF/6043.2

1st percentile

CA/6058.4

46th percentile

ixG/600.09

6th percentile

Goals above expected-0.2

44th percentile

IPP39.1%

70th percentile

PDO101.0

66th percentile

OZS%35.6%

11th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play stylePhysical stay-at-home defenseman

Trait percentiles vs. NHL defensemen · 2025-26

Lyubushkin is a rugged, physical presence who uses his size and strength to wear down opponents and defend the blue line. He doesn't generate much offense or speed, keeping his game simple and focused on heavy, shutdown play.

PhysicalDefensiveStay-at-home
Shooting volume
3
Playmaking
43
Zone entries(est.)
35
Forechecking
22
Physicality
89
Defensive impact
59
Puck management
29
Speed
14

Where he shoots from

Slot 6% · Mid-range 30% · Perimeter 64%(47 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Elite physicality at the 89th percentile brings constant hard hits
  • Solid defensive impact at 59th percentile limits prime scoring chances
  • Neutral expected goals share shows reliable defensive commitment

Watch-outs

  • Minimal shooting volume in the 3rd percentile limits scoring chances
  • Very low speed at 14th percentile restricts mobility and gap control
  • Weak puck management at 29th percentile leads to turnovers under pressure

Similar style: Colton White, Jonas Siegenthaler (NJD)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 53 GP · goals above average

Season total -3.4 goals, or -0.06 per game.

Even strength offense
-1.4
Even strength defense
+0.7
Penalty kill
+0.1
Finishing
-0.2
Playmaking
-0.8
Penalties
-1.9

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2025-26DAL53189+13315:44—-0.06
2024-25DAL8011314+55117:23—-0.09
2023-24ANA, TOR74088-114717:07—-0.13
2022-23BUF6821214-24115:01—-0.06

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL defensemen · production index

202937

At 32, defensemen typically produce 81% of their peak (age 24).

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
20.9 mph
23rd pct
20+ mph bursts
5
Hardest shot
87.8 mph
36th pct
Distance
113.8 mi
OZ time
40.6%
33rd pct
DZ time
41.9%