PuckSleuth
29

Tampa Bay Lightning · Right wing · Shoots L

Pontus Holmberg

Age 27 · 6'0" · 198 lb · Born in Vasteras, SWE

Cap hit

$1.55M

1.5% of $104M cap

Term

1 yr

Through 2026-27, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

—

arrives with the trade tools

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

0

0.00 per game

TOI/GP

14:59

PP 3:20 · PK 0:00

xGF%

24.7

5v5, -31.1 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.56

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

Plus/minus

-1

Blocks 0 · Hits 1

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 1
@ NYR · L 5-1
0031014:593:200:00—3330-1-0.56
Apr 6
@ BUF · L 4-2
000118:211:070:00—5000-2-0.31
Apr 4
vs BOS · W 3-1
0020013:200:000:00—20000-0.30
Apr 2
vs PIT · W 6-3
0010011:330:000:00—0110+0.05
Mar 31
vs MTL · L 4-1
0031011:150:090:00—60100+0.15

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 892 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%55.8%

89th percentile

Relative xGF%+1.8

69th percentile

HDCF%59.2%

91st percentile

CF%54.3%

87th percentile

Relative CF%+0.4

57th percentile

FF%53.5%

83rd percentile

GF%49.2%

49th percentile

CF/6056.2

54th percentile

CA/6047.4

97th percentile

ixG/600.93

48th percentile

Goals above expected-2.8

22nd percentile

IPP64.5%

51st percentile

PDO98.9

39th percentile

OZS%41.8%

22nd percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleDefensive-minded forward

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Holmberg is a low-volume, defense-first winger who excels at shutting down opponents and managing the puck despite limited offensive creation. He generates chances primarily from the slot but rarely sets up linemates or drives zone entries.

Defensive anchorSlot threatGrind-it-out
Shooting volume
43
Playmaking
29
Zone entries(est.)
39
Forechecking
43
Physicality
47
Defensive impact
93
Puck management
40
Speed
70

Where he shoots from

Slot 54% · Mid-range 31% · Perimeter 15%(151 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • 93rd percentile defensive impact, elite at limiting opponent scoring chances
  • 70th percentile speed helps him recover and support the backcheck
  • 54% of unblocked shots from the slot shows he positions for scoring opportunities

Watch-outs

  • 29th percentile playmaking, rarely creates chances for others
  • 39th percentile rush chances, limited ability to drive play up-ice independently
  • 43rd percentile shooting volume limits his goal-scoring despite good positioning

Similar style: Rutger McGroarty, Nick Paul (TOR)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 70 GP · goals above average

Season total -1.3 goals, or -0.02 per game.

Even strength offense
-0.4
Even strength defense
+1.9
Penalty kill
+0.1
Finishing
-2.8
Playmaking
-2.5
Penalties
+2.5
Faceoffs
-0.1

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2026-27TBL1000-1314:59—-0.56
2025-26TBL70111122+19013:2136.5%-0.02
2024-25TOR6871219+46812:4048.8%-0.05
2023-24TOR5471017+115411:3446.3%+0.01
2022-23TOR37581302710:2542.5%+0.07

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

How players at his position age, and where his contract falls on that curve, arrives with the trade tools.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.9 mph
82nd pct
20+ mph bursts
98
Hardest shot
84.9 mph
50th pct
Distance
159.4 mi
OZ time
41.7%
46th pct
DZ time
39.0%