PuckSleuth
6

Winnipeg Jets · Defense · Shoots R

Jack St. Ivany

Age 27 · 6'4" · 197 lb · Born in Manhattan Beach, USA

Cap hit

$775K

0.7% of $104M cap

Term

1 yr

Through 2026-27

Clause

None

Surplus value

—

needs 40 recent games

Contract details from our records; public announcement not yet matched

2025-26 regular season

GP

20

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

7

3 primary

Points

7

0.35 per game

TOI/GP

16:20

PP 0:00 · PK 1:19

xGF%

51.9

5v5, +7.4 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.03

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

Plus/minus

+4

Blocks 24 · Hits 48

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Apr 14
@ STL · L 7-5
0004021:000:000:55——20-1-0.19
Apr 12
@ WSH · L 3-0
0012021:220:001:55—0100+0.05
Apr 11
vs WSH · L 6-3
0002118:070:000:00—3320-2-0.21
Jan 25
@ VAN · W 3-2
000012:540:000:00——100+0.02
Jan 22
@ EDM · W 6-2
0202218:590:001:40—010+2-0.12

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 296 min · percentile vs. NHL defensemen

xGF%51.9%

71st percentile

Relative xGF%+1.1

64th percentile

HDCF%71.1%

100th percentile

CF%47.7%

35th percentile

Relative CF%-4.1

16th percentile

FF%48.2%

38th percentile

GF%56.0%

80th percentile

CF/6055.7

46th percentile

CA/6060.9

26th percentile

ixG/600.17

39th percentile

Goals above expected-0.8

24th percentile

IPP50.0%

92nd percentile

PDO103.4

90th percentile

OZS%35.6%

11th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleAggressive two-way defender

Trait percentiles vs. NHL defensemen · 2025-26

St. Ivany is an elite attacking defenseman who dominates with his relentless forechecking and exceptional ability to create offensive opportunities through his speed and tenacity on the forecheck. However, he struggles to handle the puck cleanly, which can cost him possession in transition situations.

Forechecking machineHigh-event defenderPlaymaking activator
Shooting volume
46
Playmaking
83
Zone entries(est.)
99
Forechecking
97
Physicality
96
Defensive impact
70
Puck management
9
Speed
16

Where he shoots from

Slot 10% · Mid-range 17% · Perimeter 72%(29 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Leads all defensemen in rush chance creation and forechecking intensity at 99th and 97th percentiles
  • Elite playmaking touch at 83rd percentile to set up scoring chances
  • Physical presence at 96th percentile brings hard-nosed intensity to every shift

Watch-outs

  • Turnover-prone with puck management at just 9th percentile, surrendering possession
  • Slower-footed at 16th percentile, limiting his ability to recover on broken plays
  • Conservative shooter at 46th percentile, rarely creating volume from the blue line

Similar style: Cale Fleury (SEA), Parker Wotherspoon (VGK)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 20 GP · goals above average

Season total -0.6 goals, or -0.03 per game.

Even strength offense
+0.1
Even strength defense
+0.1
Penalty kill
+0.2
Finishing
-0.8
Playmaking
+0.4
Penalties
-0.6

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2025-26PIT20077+41716:20—-0.03
2024-25PIT19011-31216:22—-0.13
2023-24PIT1401101113:42—-0.06

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL defensemen · production index

202937

At 27, defensemen typically produce 97% of their peak (age 24).

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
20.7 mph
19th pct
20+ mph bursts
4
Hardest shot
87.3 mph
33rd pct
Distance
46.5 mi
OZ time
41.1%
43rd pct
DZ time
41.2%