PuckSleuth
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Ottawa Senators · Defense · Shoots R

Jordan Spence

Age 25 · 5'11" · 188 lb · Born in Manly, AUS

Cap hit

$5M

4.8% of $104M cap

Term

5 yrs

Through 2030-31

Clause

None

Surplus value

—

arrives with the trade tools

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2025-26 regular season

GP

73

Goals

7

6.5% shooting

Assists

24

8 primary

Points

31

0.42 per game

TOI/GP

18:44

PP 1:17 · PK 0:11

xGF%

62.5

5v5, +4.9 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.04

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

Plus/minus

+15

Blocks 59 · Hits 55

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Apr 25
vs CAR · L 4-2
0010317:000:140:37—3330-1-0.42
Apr 23
vs CAR · L 2-1
0003120:290:550:04—5002-1+0.19
Apr 20
@ CAR · OTL 3-2
0033339:010:160:47—60410-0.06
Apr 18
@ CAR · L 2-0
0001123:400:210:48—1720-1-0.11
Apr 15
vs TOR · W 3-1
0120123:222:451:00—38100+0.05

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,202 min · percentile vs. NHL defensemen

xGF%62.5%

100th percentile

Relative xGF%+9.6

98th percentile

HDCF%62.1%

96th percentile

CF%60.3%

99th percentile

Relative CF%+11.0

100th percentile

FF%60.7%

100th percentile

GF%57.4%

84th percentile

CF/6068.7

95th percentile

CA/6045.2

100th percentile

ixG/600.34

82nd percentile

Goals above expected+0.2

55th percentile

IPP44.8%

83rd percentile

PDO99.3

37th percentile

OZS%69.1%

98th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleDefensive anchor

Trait percentiles vs. NHL defensemen · 2025-26

Spence is a shot-generating defender who controls the game through exceptional defensive positioning and active shooting. He thrives on the back end but lacks the forechecking intensity and physicality to generate offense through play initiation.

high-volume shooterdefensive wallperimeter oriented
Shooting volume
89
Playmaking
55
Zone entries(est.)
14
Forechecking
31
Physicality
20
Defensive impact
89
Puck management
50
Speed
55

Where he shoots from

Slot 10% · Mid-range 26% · Perimeter 64%(185 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • 89th percentile shooting volume, generating 185 unblocked shots from deep
  • 89th percentile defensive impact, anchoring play at 62.5% xGF share
  • 55th percentile playmaking keeps offensive chances moving once established

Watch-outs

  • 14th percentile rush chances suggest difficulty entering the zone with possession
  • 20th percentile physicality limits his board play and physical presence
  • 31st percentile forechecking means limited ability to generate offense off the backcheck

Similar style: Theo Lindstein (STL), Ivan Provorov (CBJ)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 73 GP · goals above average

Season total +2.6 goals, or +0.04 per game.

Even strength offense
+2.8
Even strength defense
+2.3
Power play
-0.4
Penalty kill
+0.2
Finishing
+0.3
Playmaking
-0.5
Penalties
-2.1

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2025-26OTT7372431+1510818:44—+0.04
2024-25LAK7942428+238616:47—+0.04
2023-24LAK7122224+58014:26—+0.03
2022-23LAK6011+1614:00—+0.06

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

How players at his position age, and where his contract falls on that curve, arrives with the trade tools.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
21.5 mph
43rd pct
20+ mph bursts
47
Hardest shot
94.3 mph
74th pct
Distance
196.6 mi
OZ time
47.6%
99th pct
DZ time
35.3%