PuckSleuth
63

New York Islanders · Left wing · Shoots L

Matias Maccelli

Age 25 · 6'0" · 184 lb · Born in Turku, FIN

Cap hit

$2.25M

2.2% of $104M cap

Term

1 yr

Through 2026-27, then RFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$2.475M

vs. $4.725M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

0

0.00 per game

TOI/GP

17:39

PP 5:23 · PK 0:00

xGF%

44.2

5v5, -4.7 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.42

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

Plus/minus

0

Blocks 0 · Hits 1

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Sep 30
@ TOR · L 2-1
0011017:395:230:00—0110-0.42
Apr 15
@ OTT · L 3-1
0021014:291:300:00—3321-1-0.07
Apr 13
vs DAL · L 6-5
0001011:510:270:00—010-2-0.19
Apr 11
vs FLA · L 6-2
0002016:560:000:00—83000+0.07
Apr 9
@ NYI · L 5-3
0100011:170:000:00—5000-1+0.10

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 859 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%48.8%

47th percentile

Relative xGF%+4.7

87th percentile

HDCF%50.4%

58th percentile

CF%46.8%

27th percentile

Relative CF%+2.1

76th percentile

FF%48.0%

38th percentile

GF%46.2%

38th percentile

CF/6053.9

37th percentile

CA/6061.3

22nd percentile

ixG/600.79

32nd percentile

Goals above expected+2.8

83rd percentile

IPP72.1%

74th percentile

PDO100.0

55th percentile

OZS%59.6%

72nd percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleDefensive playmaker

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Maccelli is a willing defender who limits chances against and threads passes from the perimeter, but he rarely shoots and struggles to impose himself physically. He processes the puck slowly in transition and generates few scoring chances despite steady play in limited minutes.

pass-firststay-at-homelow-volume shooter
Shooting volume
23
Playmaking
62
Zone entries(est.)
51
Forechecking
10
Physicality
6
Defensive impact
66
Puck management
12
Speed
50

Where he shoots from

Slot 45% · Mid-range 44% · Perimeter 11%(140 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Excellent defensive impact keeps opponents honest at 66th percentile
  • Solid playmaking touch creates chances at 62nd percentile
  • Maintains neutral-zone balance with 51st percentile rush chances

Watch-outs

  • Minimal shooting volume at 23rd percentile limits goal upside
  • Weak forechecking approach ranks just 10th percentile for wingers
  • Below-average puck management at 12th percentile slows transitions

Similar style: Mitch Marner (VGK), Jonatan Berggren (STL)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 71 GP · goals above average

Season total +2.0 goals, or +0.03 per game.

Even strength offense
+0.2
Even strength defense
-0.5
Power play
-0.2
Finishing
+2.8
Penalties
-0.2

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2026-27NYI10000117:39—-0.42
2025-26TOR71142539-239014:34—+0.03
2024-25UTA5581018-138613:44—-0.03
2023-24ARI82174057-414916:14—+0.07
2022-23ARI6411384906115:41—+0.11

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 25, forwards typically produce 100% of their peak (age 24).

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2026-27, as of Oct 2

Top speed
21.3 mph
72nd pct
20+ mph bursts
1
Hardest shot
77.8 mph
73rd pct
Distance
2.8 mi
OZ time
48.1%
85th pct
DZ time
35.9%