PuckSleuth
24

Tampa Bay Lightning · Defense · Shoots R

Max Crozier

Age 26 · 6'3" · 207 lb · Born in Calgary, CAN

Cap hit

$875K

0.8% of $104M cap

Term

2 yrs

Through 2027-28, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$3.905M

vs. $4.78M market estimate

Contract details from our records; public announcement not yet matched

2025-26 regular season

GP

35

Goals

1

2.2% shooting

Assists

9

4 primary

Points

10

0.29 per game

TOI/GP

16:01

PP 0:01 · PK 1:21

xGF%

56.2

5v5, +0.1 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.02

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

Plus/minus

+7

Blocks 31 · Hits 39

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Apr 29
vs MTL · L 3-2
0010017:400:001:35—5000-2+0.08
Apr 26
@ MTL · W 3-2
0021111:540:010:03——000-0.28
Apr 15
vs NYR · L 4-2
0021016:300:000:30—80300+0.12
Feb 1
vs BOS · W 6-5
0021013:360:001:21—8010-1-0.29
Jan 29
vs WPG · W 4-1
0011018:430:001:57—100100-0.00

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 500 min · percentile vs. NHL defensemen

xGF%56.2%

90th percentile

Relative xGF%+1.4

66th percentile

HDCF%57.4%

86th percentile

CF%53.7%

85th percentile

Relative CF%-0.5

50th percentile

FF%53.6%

86th percentile

GF%56.8%

82nd percentile

CF/6056.0

50th percentile

CA/6048.2

97th percentile

ixG/600.21

52nd percentile

Goals above expected-0.8

27th percentile

IPP42.9%

79th percentile

PDO102.2

84th percentile

OZS%59.0%

86th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleAggressive two-way defender

Trait percentiles vs. NHL defensemen · 2025-26

Crozier is a relentless forechecking defenseman who dominates in transition and puck movement, generating chances through aggressive rush entries and smart distribution. He plays with less physicality than many peers, preferring skill and positioning to impose his will on games.

Forechecking motorTransition threatRush entry machine
Shooting volume
75
Playmaking
69
Zone entries(est.)
74
Forechecking
92
Physicality
56
Defensive impact
71
Puck management
81
Speed
62

Where he shoots from

Slot 8% · Mid-range 22% · Perimeter 71%(65 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • 92nd percentile forechecking shows relentless below-the-goal-line pressure
  • 81st percentile puck management and 74th percentile rush chances make him dangerous in transition
  • 75th percentile shooting volume and 69th percentile playmaking create offensive impact from the blue line

Watch-outs

  • 56th percentile physicality means he avoids physical engagements compared to peers
  • Perimeter-heavy shot chart (71%) suggests difficulty generating high-danger looks

Similar style: Lassi Thomson, Adam Pelech (NYI)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 35 GP · goals above average

Season total -0.6 goals, or -0.02 per game.

Even strength offense
+0.3
Even strength defense
+0.7
Penalty kill
+0.2
Finishing
-0.7
Playmaking
+0.1
Penalties
-1.1

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2025-26TBL351910+74616:01—-0.02
2024-25TBL50000816:41—-0.06
2023-24TBL13022-21312:56—+0.06

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL defensemen · production index

202937

At 26, defensemen typically produce 98% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 27, when the typical level is 97%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
21.7 mph
52nd pct
20+ mph bursts
26
Hardest shot
84.5 mph
22nd pct
Distance
78.9 mi
OZ time
42.0%
57th pct
DZ time
39.9%