PuckSleuth
13

New York Rangers · Left wing · Shoots L

Alexis Lafrenière

Age 24 · 6'1" · 193 lb · Born in St-Eustache, CAN

Cap hit

$7.45M

7.2% of $104M cap

Term

6 yrs

Through 2031-32, then UFA

Clause

M-NTC

8-team no-trade list

Surplus value

−$1.018M

vs. $6.432M market estimate

Contract details from our records; public announcement not yet matched

2026-27 regular season

GP

2

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

0

0.00 per game

TOI/GP

16:46

PP 1:36 · PK 0:00

xGF%

55.4

5v5, +3.9 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.07

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

2 W · 0 L

Plus/minus

0

Blocks 0 · Hits 4

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 1
vs TBL · W 5-1
0030015:151:370:001-02520+1-0.18
Sep 29
@ BOS · L 3-0
0004018:171:340:001-06030-1+0.05
Apr 15
@ TBL · W 4-2
0110018:132:530:00—4321+1+0.10
Apr 13
@ FLA · L 3-2
0110022:104:500:06—50000-0.13
Apr 11
@ DAL · L 2-0
0010020:586:150:020-26720-1-0.27

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,169 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%51.5%

68th percentile

Relative xGF%+5.4

91st percentile

HDCF%54.3%

76th percentile

CF%52.4%

77th percentile

Relative CF%+5.0

94th percentile

FF%51.7%

72nd percentile

GF%54.2%

72nd percentile

CF/6058.0

63rd percentile

CA/6052.6

83rd percentile

ixG/601.19

70th percentile

Goals above expected+0.8

70th percentile

IPP67.3%

61st percentile

PDO101.6

72nd percentile

OZS%60.7%

75th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleSkilled two-way winger

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Lafrenière is a puck-possession wizard who dominates with the puck on his stick, combining elite puck management with solid playmaking and above-average defense. He struggles to generate rush chances and lacks physical presence, preferring a finesse-based game focused on controlled entry and slot shots.

Possession-orientedPlaymaking threatDefensive forward
Shooting volume
62
Playmaking
68
Zone entries(est.)
31
Forechecking
40
Physicality
38
Defensive impact
65
Puck management
86
Speed
53

Where he shoots from

Slot 56% · Mid-range 36% · Perimeter 8%(262 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Elite puck management at 86th percentile keeps possession flowing
  • Defensive impact at 65th percentile provides two-way value
  • Strong playmaking at 68th percentile creates for teammates

Watch-outs

  • Rush chances at 31st percentile limits transition opportunities
  • Forechecking at 40th percentile shows moderate engagement in puck pursuit

Similar style: Oliver Bjorkstrand (NYR), Jordan Eberle (SEA)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 82 GP · goals above average

Season total +2.9 goals, or +0.04 per game.

Even strength offense
-0.2
Even strength defense
+0.7
Power play
+0.1
Finishing
+0.9
Playmaking
+0.6
Penalties
+0.9
Faceoffs
-0.2

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2026-27NYR20000316:46—-0.07
2025-26NYR82243357-716417:36—+0.04
2024-25NYR82172845-1315317:00—+0.03
2023-24NYR82282957+221717:1625.8%+0.06
2022-23NYR81162339+1013515:1336.8%-0.03

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 24, forwards typically produce 100% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 29, when the typical level is 89%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2026-27, as of Oct 2

Top speed
21.8 mph
87th pct
20+ mph bursts
2
Hardest shot
75.8 mph
66th pct
Distance
3.0 mi
OZ time
42.7%
56th pct
DZ time
35.4%