PuckSleuth
22

Nashville Predators · Center · Shoots R

Mavrik Bourque

Age 24 · 5'11" · 187 lb · Born in Plessisville, CAN

Cap hit

$5.5M

5.3% of $104M cap

Term

6 yrs

Through 2031-32, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

−$1.111M

vs. $4.389M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

0

0.00 per game

TOI/GP

17:25

PP 3:08 · PK 0:58

xGF%

24.9

5v5, -29.5 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.68

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

6 W · 3 L

Plus/minus

0

Blocks 0 · Hits 3

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 1
vs MIN · L 3-1
0043017:253:080:586-3100100-0.68
Apr 30
@ MIN · L 5-2
1055015:090:000:004-317100+0.41
Apr 28
vs MIN · L 4-2
0013015:260:090:004-82500-1-0.23
Apr 25
@ MIN · OTL 3-2
0023020:500:000:001-43301-1-0.65
Apr 22
@ MIN · W 4-3
0046220:591:240:005-633000-0.56

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,114 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%54.4%

82nd percentile

Relative xGF%+4.3

84th percentile

HDCF%58.5%

90th percentile

CF%52.0%

75th percentile

Relative CF%+6.4

97th percentile

FF%51.9%

73rd percentile

GF%51.5%

61st percentile

CF/6054.8

44th percentile

CA/6050.5

90th percentile

ixG/601.05

59th percentile

Goals above expected+0.6

66th percentile

IPP64.0%

49th percentile

PDO99.3

45th percentile

OZS%50.9%

46th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleSkilled two-way center

Trait percentiles vs. NHL centers · 2025-26

Bourque plays a balanced, attacking game with good speed and playmaking touch, getting most of his chances from the slot. He moves the puck efficiently and creates quality opportunities, but struggles to generate scoring chances through pressure and lacks physical engagement in his game.

slot shooterplaymaking centerbalanced approach
Shooting volume
55
Playmaking
58
Zone entries(est.)
23
Forechecking
41
Physicality
34
Defensive impact
48
Puck management
53
Speed
60

Where he shoots from

Slot 51% · Mid-range 35% · Perimeter 14%(194 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Speed ranks 60th percentile, enabling quick transitions and puck recovery
  • Playmaking at 58th percentile creates quality set-up chances for linemates
  • Slot-heavy shot selection (51%) maximizes dangerous scoring area efficiency

Watch-outs

  • Rush chances at 23rd percentile shows difficulty generating off-the-rush offense
  • Physicality ranks just 34th, limiting his ability to win puck battles
  • Forechecking at 41st percentile suggests limited scoring-play generation through pressure

Similar style: Morgan Frost (CGY), Elias Pettersson (VAN)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 82 GP · goals above average

Season total +1.6 goals, or +0.02 per game.

Even strength offense
+0.9
Even strength defense
+0.8
Power play
-0.4
Penalty kill
-0.1
Finishing
+0.7
Playmaking
-0.9
Penalties
+0.9
Faceoffs
-0.2

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2026-27NSH10000417:25—-0.68
2025-26DAL82202141+614715:2945.3%+0.02
2024-25DAL73111425+68012:4146.3%-0.02
2023-24DAL10000210:56—-0.27

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 24, forwards typically produce 100% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 29, when the typical level is 89%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.5 mph
62nd pct
20+ mph bursts
119
Hardest shot
89.7 mph
82nd pct
Distance
200.1 mi
OZ time
42.8%
59th pct
DZ time
38.9%