PuckSleuth
53

Carolina Hurricanes · Right wing · Shoots R

Jackson Blake

Age 23 · 5'11" · 185 lb · Born in Fargo, USA

Cap hit

$5.117M

4.9% of $104M cap

Term

8 yrs

Through 2033-34, then UFA

Clause

M-NTC

10-team no-trade list

Surplus value

+$1.008M

vs. $6.125M market estimate

Contract details from our records; public announcement not yet matched

2026-27 regular season

GP

2

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

1

0 primary

Points

1

0.50 per game

TOI/GP

20:33

PP 8:23 · PK 0:05

xGF%

16.2

5v5, -42.3 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.42

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

Plus/minus

-2

Blocks 2 · Hits 0

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 2
vs WSH · L 5-2
0130019:279:050:00—001-1-0.46
Sep 29
vs FLA · OTL 1-0
0020221:387:410:09—3330-1-0.38
Jun 14
@ VGK · W 3-0
1130214:322:130:00—10000+2+0.49
Jun 11
vs VGK · W 4-2
0021016:193:100:00—100210-0.34
Jun 9
@ VGK · W 5-3
1132015:141:420:00—10010+1+0.59

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,083 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%58.5%

96th percentile

Relative xGF%+2.5

73rd percentile

HDCF%58.8%

90th percentile

CF%60.4%

99th percentile

Relative CF%+0.7

59th percentile

FF%58.9%

98th percentile

GF%54.4%

73rd percentile

CF/6071.1

97th percentile

CA/6046.7

99th percentile

ixG/601.53

88th percentile

Goals above expected-5.6

6th percentile

IPP67.3%

61st percentile

PDO99.1

41st percentile

OZS%76.4%

98th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleHigh-volume offensive driver

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Blake attacks relentlessly through the neutral zone with elite rush entry ability and strong shooting volume, generating chances despite below-average forechecking and physical engagement. His puck handling and defensive work lag behind his offensive instincts, making him a pure attacking weapon.

Rush attackerHigh-volume shooterOffensive catalyst
Shooting volume
78
Playmaking
69
Zone entries(est.)
93
Forechecking
9
Physicality
3
Defensive impact
29
Puck management
18
Speed
28

Where he shoots from

Slot 62% · Mid-range 34% · Perimeter 4%(276 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Elite 93rd percentile rush entry ability opens consistent scoring chances
  • 78th percentile shooting volume keeps defenders honest with frequent attempts
  • Playmaking at 69th percentile provides secondary creation alongside his shot

Watch-outs

  • Forechecking at 9th percentile limits puck recovery in offensive zones
  • Puck management in 18th percentile leads to turnovers against pressure
  • Physicality at 3rd percentile means avoiding net-front battles

Similar style: Kevin Fiala (LAK), Matvei Gridin (CGY)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 81 GP · goals above average

Season total -0.9 goals, or -0.01 per game.

Even strength offense
+3.2
Even strength defense
+0.4
Power play
-0.2
Finishing
-5.5
Playmaking
+0.7
Penalties
+0.6
Faceoffs
-0.1

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2026-27CAR2011-2520:33—-0.42
2025-26CAR81223153+417416:30—-0.01
2024-25CAR80171734+1014213:51—-0.01
2023-24CAR1000-2215:18—-0.35

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 23, forwards typically produce 99% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 30, when the typical level is 84%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2026-27, as of Oct 2

Top speed
20.8 mph
54th pct
20+ mph bursts
1
Hardest shot
32.2 mph
9th pct
Distance
3.4 mi
OZ time
50.1%
94th pct
DZ time
33.9%