PuckSleuthPittsburgh Penguins · Defense · Shoots L
Declan Carlile
Age 26 · 6'3" · 192 lb · Born in Hartland, USA
Cap hit
$1.5M
1.4% of $104M cap
Term
2 yrs
Through 2027-28, then UFA
Clause
None
Surplus value
+$1.867M
vs. $3.367M market estimate
Contract details from our records; public announcement not yet matched
2026-27 regular season
GP
1
Goals
0
0.0% shooting
Assists
1
0 primary
Points
1
1.00 per game
TOI/GP
16:30
PP 0:00 · PK 1:14
xGF%
78.2
5v5, +27.8 vs. last yr
Game Score
-0.43
per game, goals above average
Faceoff %
—
Plus/minus
+1
Blocks 0 · Hits 1
Game log
Last 5 games · NHL API
| Game | G | A | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI | PP | PK | FO | OZS% | GV | TK | +/- | GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30 @ PHI · W 7-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16:30 | 0:00 | 1:14 | — | 100 | 0 | 0 | +1 | -0.43 |
| Apr 24 @ MTL · OTL 3-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 11:20 | 0:00 | 1:15 | — | 100 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +0.12 |
| Apr 21 vs MTL · W 3-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17:38 | 0:00 | 0:19 | — | 67 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.01 |
| Apr 15 vs NYR · L 4-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:46 | 0:00 | 1:52 | — | 83 | 0 | 1 | -2 | +0.17 |
| Apr 13 vs DET · W 4-3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20:22 | 0:00 | 0:57 | — | 50 | 0 | 0 | +1 | -0.16 |
GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.
Advanced metrics
5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 561 min · percentile vs. NHL defensemen
60th percentile
33rd percentile
55th percentile
54th percentile
14th percentile
29th percentile
75th percentile
24th percentile
83rd percentile
50th percentile
23rd percentile
2nd percentile
91st percentile
81st percentile
xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.
Play styleDefensive stay-at-home defenseman
Trait percentiles vs. NHL defensemen · 2025-26
Carlile is a physical, positionally sound defender who prioritizes shutdown responsibilities and puck retention over offensive generation. He rarely attempts shots or creates chances, instead focusing on limiting opponent scoring and moving the puck cleanly out of danger.
- Shooting volume
- 33
- Playmaking
- 0
- Zone entries(est.)
- 34
- Forechecking
- 77
- Physicality
- 69
- Defensive impact
- 80
- Puck management
- 87
- Speed
- 51
Where he shoots from
Slot 12% · Mid-range 31% · Perimeter 57%(51 unblocked shots)
Strengths
- Defensive impact at 80th percentile shows excellent shot suppression
- Puck management at 87th percentile keeps possession clean and simple
- Forechecking at 77th percentile creates havoc in opposing zones
Watch-outs
- Playmaking at 0th percentile means no offensive creativity or setup passes
- Shooting volume at 33rd percentile reflects minimal offensive contributions
- Rush chances at 34th percentile suggests limited entry generation in transition
Similar style: Josh Mahura (SEA), Mario Ferraro (WPG)
Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.
Where his Game Score comes from
2025-26 · 42 GP · goals above average
Season total -2.4 goals, or -0.06 per game.
- Even strength offense
- -0.4
- Even strength defense
- +0.5
- Penalty kill
- +0.2
- Finishing
- -0.9
- Playmaking
- -2.0
- Penalties
- +0.2
Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.
By season
Regular season
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | TOI/GP | FO% | GS/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | PIT | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:30 | — | -0.43 |
| 2025-26 | TBL | 42 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 33 | 14:47 | — | -0.06 |
| 2024-25 | TBL | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 13:00 | — | +0.25 |
| 2023-24 | TBL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:27 | — | +0.06 |
Sentiment & chatter
Fans
—
Beat writers
—
Media
—
Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.
Age curve
NHL defensemen · production index
At 26, defensemen typically produce 98% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 27, when the typical level is 97%.
From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.
Skating · NHL EDGE
2026-27, as of Oct 2
- Top speed
- 19.2 mph
- 29th pct
- 20+ mph bursts
- 0
- Hardest shot
- 81.5 mph
- 65th pct
- Distance
- 2.5 mi
- OZ time
- 39.5%
- 29th pct
- DZ time
- 42.9%