Philadelphia Flyers · Right wing · Shoots L

Nikita Grebenkin

Age 23 · 6'2" · 210 lb · Born in Serov, RUS

Cap hit

$1.1M

1.1% of $104M cap

Term

2 yrs

Through 2027-28, then RFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$1.156M

vs. $2.256M market estimate

Contract details from our records; public announcement not yet matched

2025-26 regular season

Goals

12.5% shooting

Assists

6 primary

Points

0.25 per game

TOI/GP

11:17

PP 0:12 · PK 0:00

xGF%

47.7

5v5, +7 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.01

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

4 W · 2 L

Plus/minus

-7

Blocks 17 · Hits 86

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

Game	SOG	HIT	BLK	TOI	PP	PK	FO	OZS%	GV	TK	+/-	GS
Mar 21 @ SJS · W 4-1	0	0	0	8:55	0:00	0:00	—	40	1	0	+1	-0.03
Mar 19 @ LAK · W 4-3	0	1	0	10:44	0:00	0:00	—	100	1	0	-1	-0.20
Mar 18 @ ANA · W 3-2	0	0	0	8:47	0:00	0:00	—	100	0	1	+1	-0.26
Mar 14 vs CBJ · OTL 2-1	2	1	1	11:55	0:00	0:00	—	50	0	0	0	-0.03
Mar 12 @ MIN · W 3-2	0	2	0	12:50	0:07	0:00	—	60	0	1	0	-0.04

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 598 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%47.7%

37th percentile

Relative xGF%-2.5

32nd percentile

HDCF%44.7%

25th percentile

CF%48.2%

39th percentile

Relative CF%+1.1

66th percentile

FF%47.5%

33rd percentile

GF%43.2%

26th percentile

CF/6049.8

17th percentile

CA/6053.6

78th percentile

ixG/600.41

2nd percentile

Goals above expected-0.1

58th percentile

IPP68.4%

64th percentile

PDO97.6

24th percentile

OZS%50.7%

46th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleDefensive-minded grinder

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Grebenkin is a physical, aggressive forechecking winger who plays a heavy-hitting game but struggles to initiate offense or create scoring chances. He's a low-volume shooter who rarely generates quality opportunities, making him most valuable as a depth forward focused on effort and physicality.

PhysicalForecheckingLow-volume scorerDefensive

Shooting volume: 0
Playmaking: 49
Zone entries(est.): 18
Forechecking: 73
Physicality: 71
Defensive impact: 59
Puck management: 42
Speed: 26

Where he shoots from

Slot 44% · Mid-range 38% · Perimeter 18%(45 unblocked shots)

Strengths

Aggressive forechecking at 73rd percentile drives puck recovery and pressure
Physicality at 71st percentile enables hard-hitting, punishing style
Solid defensive impact at 59th percentile minimizes chances against

Watch-outs

Shooting volume at 0th percentile shows almost no offensive volume
Rush chances at 18th percentile indicates difficulty entering zone with speed
Speed at 26th percentile limits separation and breakaway potential

Similar style: Ondrej Palat (NYI), Andrew Mangiapane (CHI)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 55 GP · goals above average

Season total -0.3 goals, or -0.01 per game.

Even strength offense: -0.8
Even strength defense: +0.4
Power play: -0.2
Playmaking: -0.6
Penalties: +0.9

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	TOI/GP	FO%	GS/GP
2025-26	PHI	55	4	10	14	-7	32	11:17	—	-0.01
2024-25	TOR	7	0	0	0	-3	2	8:45	—	-0.18

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 23, forwards typically produce 99% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 24, when the typical level is 100%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed: 22.0 mph; 39th pct
20+ mph bursts: 31
Hardest shot: 82.7 mph; 34th pct
Distance: 101.1 mi
OZ time: 41.7%; 45th pct
DZ time: 39.5%