PuckSleuth
98

Chicago Blackhawks · Center · Shoots R

Connor Bedard

Age 21 · 5'10" · 190 lb · Born in North Vancouver, CAN

Cap hit

$15M

14.4% of $104M cap

Term

5 yrs

Through 2030-31, then UFA

Clause

NMC

Surplus value

−$4.568M

vs. $10.432M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2025-26 regular season

GP

69

Goals

30

13.3% shooting

Assists

45

33 primary

Points

75

1.09 per game

TOI/GP

20:52

PP 3:30 · PK 0:01

xGF%

44.2

5v5, +2.3 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.10

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

47.1

315 W · 354 L

Plus/minus

-18

Blocks 27 · Hits 31

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Apr 15
vs SJS · W 5-2
0200017:513:070:003-58000+1+0.49
Apr 13
vs BUF · L 5-1
0001122:316:410:009-94011-3-0.15
Apr 11
vs STL · L 5-3
0160023:013:030:009-88310-1-0.00
Apr 9
vs CAR · L 7-2
0030220:224:550:0010-35011-4-0.20
Apr 6
@ SJS · L 3-2
0170121:135:390:004-62511-2-0.66

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,097 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%44.2%

16th percentile

Relative xGF%+1.0

60th percentile

HDCF%49.7%

52nd percentile

CF%43.8%

8th percentile

Relative CF%-1.4

36th percentile

FF%43.4%

7th percentile

GF%44.9%

33rd percentile

CF/6052.4

28th percentile

CA/6067.2

4th percentile

ixG/601.59

90th percentile

Goals above expected+1.0

71st percentile

IPP84.9%

96th percentile

PDO100.8

63rd percentile

OZS%66.6%

88th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleElite offensive catalyst

Trait percentiles vs. NHL centers · 2025-26

Bedard is a dynamic playmaker and shooter who generates prolific chances and finishing opportunities at an elite level. His game relies on skill and positioning rather than physicality or defensive work, and his puck decisions occasionally cost his team possession.

High-volume scorerPlaymaking wizardPerimeter game
Shooting volume
96
Playmaking
96
Zone entries(est.)
44
Forechecking
20
Physicality
4
Defensive impact
2
Puck management
22
Speed
75

Where he shoots from

Slot 31% · Mid-range 58% · Perimeter 11%(338 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Exceptional shooting volume at 96th percentile, generating 338 unblocked shots
  • Elite playmaking at 96th percentile, consistently setting up high-quality chances
  • Above-average speed at 75th percentile enables quick transitions and offensive pressure

Watch-outs

  • Minimal defensive impact at 2nd percentile, offering little resistance in his own zone
  • Extremely low physicality at 4th percentile limits his net presence and board play
  • Below-average puck management at 22nd percentile leads to turnovers despite high volume

Similar style: Jack Hughes (NJD), Nathan MacKinnon (COL)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 69 GP · goals above average

Season total +7.0 goals, or +0.10 per game.

Even strength offense
+0.3
Even strength defense
-2.8
Power play
-0.1
Finishing
+1.1
Playmaking
+8.1
Penalties
+0.8
Faceoffs
-0.4

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2025-26CHI69304575-1822620:5247.1%+0.10
2024-25CHI82234467-3619520:1738.3%-0.02
2023-24CHI68223961-4420619:4738.9%+0.02

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 21, forwards typically produce 96% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 25, when the typical level is 100%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.4 mph
57th pct
20+ mph bursts
195
Hardest shot
90.7 mph
87th pct
Distance
235.0 mi
OZ time
42.3%
52nd pct
DZ time
39.7%