PuckSleuth
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Anaheim Ducks · Center · Shoots L

Leo Carlsson

Age 21 · 6'3" · 215 lb · Born in Karlstad, SWE

Cap hit

$18M

17.3% of $104M cap

Term

5 yrs

Through 2030-31, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

—

arrives with the trade tools

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2025-26 regular season

GP

70

Goals

29

15.0% shooting

Assists

38

23 primary

Points

67

0.96 per game

TOI/GP

19:09

PP 3:28 · PK 0:53

xGF%

54.4

5v5, +10 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.17

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

44.4

433 W · 543 L

Plus/minus

+4

Blocks 29 · Hits 14

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
May 14
vs VGK · L 5-1
0100016:454:300:306-4100000-0.32
May 12
@ VGK · OTL 3-2
0020119:091:430:005-810010-1-0.46
May 10
vs VGK · W 4-3
0002016:012:450:074-410000-1-0.13
May 8
vs VGK · L 6-2
0132018:342:080:182-1167000-0.49
May 6
@ VGK · W 3-1
1040121:036:020:002-1010021+1+0.38

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 936 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%54.4%

82nd percentile

Relative xGF%+5.5

91st percentile

HDCF%51.0%

61st percentile

CF%56.3%

94th percentile

Relative CF%+5.6

95th percentile

FF%56.4%

94th percentile

GF%52.1%

65th percentile

CF/6071.2

97th percentile

CA/6055.3

69th percentile

ixG/601.58

89th percentile

Goals above expected+4.4

90th percentile

IPP67.3%

61st percentile

PDO97.7

27th percentile

OZS%65.6%

86th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleOffensive playmaker

Trait percentiles vs. NHL centers · 2025-26

Carlsson is an elite offensive engine who generates chances at an elite rate through high-volume shooting and excellent playmaking. He's a pure offensive talent who struggles with the heavy, physical elements of play and doesn't drive play through forechecking intensity.

shoot-first playmakerhigh-volume threatrush generator
Shooting volume
90
Playmaking
89
Zone entries(est.)
80
Forechecking
3
Physicality
1
Defensive impact
61
Puck management
40
Speed
77

Where he shoots from

Slot 49% · Mid-range 40% · Perimeter 11%(277 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Prolific shooter at 90th percentile, averaging nearly 4 unblocked shots per game
  • Exceptional playmaker at 89th percentile, setting up 0.54 assists per game
  • Dangerous slot presence with 49% of shots from high-danger areas

Watch-outs

  • Forechecking ranks just 3rd percentile, showing limited physical engage in offensive zone
  • Physicality at 1st percentile means he avoids contact and won't wear down opponents

Similar style: Nick Schmaltz (UTA), Mikael Backlund (CGY)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 70 GP · goals above average

Season total +11.9 goals, or +0.17 per game.

Even strength offense
+2.3
Even strength defense
-0.7
Power play
+0.5
Penalty kill
+0.1
Finishing
+4.5
Playmaking
+3.7
Penalties
+2.5
Faceoffs
-1.1

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2025-26ANA70293867+419319:0944.4%+0.17
2024-25ANA76202545+611416:1441.4%+0.00
2023-24ANA55121729-1110918:0734.8%-0.02

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

How players at his position age, and where his contract falls on that curve, arrives with the trade tools.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.5 mph
62nd pct
20+ mph bursts
197
Hardest shot
85.5 mph
54th pct
Distance
240.7 mi
OZ time
44.5%
80th pct
DZ time
36.9%