PuckSleuth
29

Detroit Red Wings · Center · Shoots R

Nate Danielson

Age 22 · 6'2" · 196 lb · Born in Red Deer, CAN

Cap hit

$909K

0.9% of $104M cap

Term

2 yrs

Through 2027-28, then RFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

—

needs 40 recent games

Contract details from our records; public announcement not yet matched

2025-26 regular season

GP

28

Goals

2

6.5% shooting

Assists

5

3 primary

Points

7

0.25 per game

TOI/GP

11:03

PP 1:30 · PK 0:01

xGF%

45.9

5v5

Game Score

-0.09

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

37.7

55 W · 91 L

Plus/minus

-7

Blocks 9 · Hits 8

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Jan 3
vs PIT · L 4-1
0000011:520:570:001-26700-1-0.11
Jan 1
@ PIT · OTL 4-3
0000011:446:020:001-0100110-0.29
Dec 31
vs WPG · W 2-1
000019:281:040:001-26701-1-0.13
Dec 28
vs TOR · W 3-2
001108:420:380:001-475000-0.14
Dec 27
@ CAR · L 5-2
0010012:061:330:003-617110-0.48

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 261 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%45.9%

25th percentile

Relative xGF%-4.6

20th percentile

HDCF%47.1%

37th percentile

CF%48.0%

38th percentile

Relative CF%+0.4

56th percentile

FF%48.9%

46th percentile

GF%33.3%

6th percentile

CF/6056.2

53rd percentile

CA/6060.8

25th percentile

ixG/600.81

35th percentile

Goals above expected-1.5

35th percentile

IPP66.7%

55th percentile

PDO95.7

9th percentile

OZS%50.0%

43rd percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleDynamic rush playmaker

Trait percentiles vs. NHL centers · 2025-26

Danielson is a lightning-quick center who excels at creating transition chances through elite rush opportunities. While his scoring and forechecking remain underdeveloped, his speed and zone entry skills showcase genuine offensive potential.

Rush-heavyQuick decisionsPlaymaking upside
Shooting volume
62
Playmaking
53
Zone entries(est.)
100
Forechecking
30
Physicality
15
Defensive impact
30
Puck management
51
Speed
58

Where he shoots from

Slot 41% · Mid-range 51% · Perimeter 8%(49 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • 100th percentile rush chances create transition advantages at an elite level
  • 58th percentile speed allows him to consistently beat defenders into the zone
  • 62nd percentile shooting volume shows developing offensive assertiveness

Watch-outs

  • 15th percentile physicality limits his ability to protect the puck in traffic
  • 30th percentile forechecking effort suggests minimal contribution on puck recovery
  • 30th percentile defensive impact raises concerns about net-side positioning and responsibility

Similar style: Brock Nelson (COL), Mikael Granlund (ANA)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 28 GP · goals above average

Season total -2.4 goals, or -0.08 per game.

Even strength offense
-0.2
Even strength defense
-0.2
Power play
+0.1
Finishing
-1.5
Playmaking
-0.3
Faceoffs
-0.4

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2025-26DET28257-73111:0337.7%-0.09

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 22, forwards typically produce 98% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 23, when the typical level is 99%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.2 mph
49th pct
20+ mph bursts
46
Hardest shot
81.9 mph
30th pct
Distance
53.4 mi
OZ time
41.8%
46th pct
DZ time
40.6%