PuckSleuth
15

St. Louis Blues · Right wing · Shoots L

Dalibor Dvorsky

Age 21 · 6'1" · 207 lb · Born in Zvolen, SVK

Cap hit

$1.733M

1.7% of $104M cap

Term

2 yrs

Through 2027-28, then RFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$1.813M

vs. $3.547M market estimate

Contract details from our records; public announcement not yet matched

2025-26 regular season

GP

71

Goals

12

12.9% shooting

Assists

9

3 primary

Points

21

0.30 per game

TOI/GP

14:20

PP 1:58 · PK 0:01

xGF%

45.9

5v5, +14.6 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.11

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

46.0

335 W · 394 L

Plus/minus

-6

Blocks 24 · Hits 77

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Apr 16
@ UTA · W 5-3
0020014:050:460:006-107100-2-0.25
Apr 14
vs PIT · W 7-5
0020012:480:550:005-610000-1-0.35
Apr 13
vs MIN · W 6-3
0110015:314:270:005-1050000-0.19
Apr 11
@ CHI · W 5-3
1020012:520:310:008-46730+1+0.75
Apr 9
vs WPG · L 3-2
0000219:373:300:003-1225100-0.41

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 849 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%45.9%

24th percentile

Relative xGF%-5.6

14th percentile

HDCF%39.4%

9th percentile

CF%47.1%

30th percentile

Relative CF%-0.8

42nd percentile

FF%47.5%

33rd percentile

GF%44.6%

32nd percentile

CF/6050.6

19th percentile

CA/6056.9

56th percentile

ixG/600.81

34th percentile

Goals above expected+0.6

66th percentile

IPP48.3%

10th percentile

PDO98.5

35th percentile

OZS%61.0%

76th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play stylePerimeter scorer

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Dvorsky shoots frequently from distance and plays a careful, conservative game, but struggles to generate chances through rushing or playmaking. He battles physically and defensively in line with his peers while managing limited ice time effectively.

volume shooterperimeter threatsupport player
Shooting volume
27
Playmaking
12
Zone entries(est.)
6
Forechecking
46
Physicality
43
Defensive impact
43
Puck management
43
Speed
13

Where he shoots from

Slot 43% · Mid-range 37% · Perimeter 20%(143 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • High shot volume (27th percentile) keeps him involved in scoring chances
  • Slot shots comprise 43% of attempts, showing willingness to attack closer ranges
  • Reasonable forechecking and defensive effort (both 43rd percentile) in a limited role

Watch-outs

  • Minimal rush chances and zone entries (6th percentile) limit transition opportunities
  • Playmaking ranks very low (12th percentile), rarely creating for teammates
  • Speed is a constraint (13th percentile), affecting his ability to generate looks quickly

Similar style: Jonathan Lekkerimäki (VAN), Alex Killorn (ANA)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 71 GP · goals above average

Season total -7.9 goals, or -0.11 per game.

Even strength offense
-1.3
Even strength defense
+0.3
Power play
-0.9
Finishing
+0.6
Playmaking
-4.4
Penalties
-1.5
Faceoffs
-0.6

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2025-26STL7112921-69314:2046.0%-0.11
2024-25STL2000029:25—-0.15

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 21, forwards typically produce 96% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 22, when the typical level is 98%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
21.6 mph
23rd pct
20+ mph bursts
15
Hardest shot
89.8 mph
83rd pct
Distance
161.7 mi
OZ time
42.9%
61st pct
DZ time
39.1%