PuckSleuth
71

Nashville Predators · Right wing · Shoots R

Matthew Wood

Age 21 · 6'4" · 202 lb · Born in Nanaimo, CAN

Cap hit

$950K

0.9% of $104M cap

Term

1 yr

Through 2026-27, then RFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$2.696M

vs. $3.646M market estimate

Contract details from our records; public announcement not yet matched

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

0

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

0

0.00 per game

TOI/GP

17:22

PP 4:56 · PK 2:00

xGF%

41.5

5v5, -3.3 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.39

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

1 W · 7 L

Plus/minus

0

Blocks 1 · Hits 2

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 1
vs MIN · L 3-1
0002117:224:562:001-750300-0.39
Apr 16
vs ANA · L 5-4
0010112:160:420:001-50000-0.05
Apr 13
vs SJS · L 3-2
0002011:390:000:002-433010-0.20
Apr 11
vs MIN · W 2-1
1022010:270:470:00——00+1+0.66
Apr 9
@ UTA · L 4-1
0010111:191:110:001-48310-1-0.09

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 737 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%44.7%

18th percentile

Relative xGF%-3.9

23rd percentile

HDCF%40.7%

13th percentile

CF%49.1%

48th percentile

Relative CF%-0.9

41st percentile

FF%46.9%

26th percentile

GF%50.7%

58th percentile

CF/6057.7

61st percentile

CA/6059.9

32nd percentile

ixG/600.96

52nd percentile

Goals above expected+5.2

92nd percentile

IPP56.8%

27th percentile

PDO101.6

73rd percentile

OZS%72.7%

96th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleOffensive volume shooter

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Matthew Wood operates as a shoot-first winger who generates chances through high shot attempts and moderate playmaking. His game relies on volume and shot selection from close range, but he struggles with speed, defensive responsibility, and moving the puck cleanly.

High-volume shooterSlot threatOffensive-minded
Shooting volume
51
Playmaking
62
Zone entries(est.)
35
Forechecking
48
Physicality
39
Defensive impact
12
Puck management
42
Speed
29

Where he shoots from

Slot 46% · Mid-range 44% · Perimeter 10%(149 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Playmaking at 62nd percentile helps create secondary chances alongside his shooting
  • Slot shooting concentration, 46% of unblocked shots from high-danger areas
  • Decent shot volume at 51st percentile sustains offensive pressure

Watch-outs

  • Defensive impact at 12th percentile, a significant drag on all-situations value
  • Speed at 29th percentile limits transition play and rush chances creation
  • Physicality at 39th percentile means he avoids engaging in board play

Similar style: Mason Marchment (SJS), Jaden Schwartz (COL)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 71 GP · goals above average

Season total +4.0 goals, or +0.06 per game.

Even strength offense
-0.5
Even strength defense
-0.8
Power play
-0.8
Finishing
+5.3
Playmaking
-0.1
Penalties
+1.3
Faceoffs
-0.4

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2026-27NSH10000017:22—-0.39
2025-26NSH71171330-310312:1939.8%+0.06
2024-25NSH60110811:35—-0.21

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 21, forwards typically produce 96% of their peak (age 24).

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
21.9 mph
37th pct
20+ mph bursts
53
Hardest shot
80.4 mph
21st pct
Distance
148.1 mi
OZ time
43.3%
67th pct
DZ time
38.7%