PuckSleuth
71

San Jose Sharks · Center · Shoots L

Macklin Celebrini

Age 20 · 6'0" · 190 lb · Born in North Vancouver, CAN

Cap hit

$4.475M

4.3% of $104M cap

Term

1 yr

Through 2026-27, then RFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$7.881M

vs. $12.356M market estimate

Contract details from our records; public announcement not yet matched

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

3

2 primary

Points

3

3.00 per game

TOI/GP

22:57

PP 5:19 · PK 2:06

xGF%

58.3

5v5, +8.6 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.67

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

6 W · 6 L

Plus/minus

+1

Blocks 1 · Hits 0

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 1
vs FLA · W 4-3
0370122:575:192:066-62511+1+0.67
Apr 16
@ WPG · W 6-1
1230014:410:590:066-710010+2+1.23
Apr 15
@ CHI · L 5-2
0030118:544:470:085-610041-3-0.58
Apr 13
@ NSH · W 3-2
2021019:341:250:004-88830+2+0.74
Apr 11
vs VAN · OTL 4-3
0251222:143:190:038-1010030+2+0.43

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,305 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%49.9%

57th percentile

Relative xGF%+4.4

85th percentile

HDCF%49.0%

50th percentile

CF%48.8%

45th percentile

Relative CF%+2.8

83rd percentile

FF%48.4%

40th percentile

GF%56.6%

80th percentile

CF/6054.6

43rd percentile

CA/6057.3

52nd percentile

ixG/601.56

89th percentile

Goals above expected+11.0

99th percentile

IPP84.9%

96th percentile

PDO103.6

90th percentile

OZS%67.9%

91st percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleElite offensive catalyst

Trait percentiles vs. NHL centers · 2025-26

Celebrini is a high-volume scorer and passer who dominates the puck with elite shooting and playmaking. He struggles with transition efficiency and defensive grunt work, making him a one-way player who needs sheltering from the grind.

Pure scorerHigh-volume playmakerTransition riskPerimeter threat
Shooting volume
97
Playmaking
97
Zone entries(est.)
29
Forechecking
15
Physicality
20
Defensive impact
24
Puck management
1
Speed
69

Where he shoots from

Slot 28% · Mid-range 60% · Perimeter 12%(411 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • 97th percentile shooting volume, averaging 5 shots per game
  • 97th percentile playmaking, orchestrating 70 assists in 82 games
  • 49.7% expected goals share shows elite offensive impact on ice

Watch-outs

  • 1st percentile puck management creates turnovers and chaos
  • 29th percentile rush chances suggest inefficient transition entries
  • 15th percentile forechecking means minimal defensive pressure work

Similar style: Jack Hughes (NJD), Jack Eichel (VGK)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 82 GP · goals above average

Season total +26.1 goals, or +0.32 per game.

Even strength offense
+0.8
Even strength defense
-0.9
Penalty kill
+0.3
Finishing
+11.2
Playmaking
+12.8
Penalties
+2.3
Faceoffs
-0.3

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2026-27SJS1033+1722:57—+0.67
2025-26SJS824570115+828721:1948.6%+0.32
2024-25SJS70253863-3123619:4748.2%+0.02

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 20, forwards typically produce 92% of their peak (age 24).

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.3 mph
54th pct
20+ mph bursts
186
Hardest shot
97.9 mph
99th pct
Distance
293.7 mi
OZ time
44.5%
80th pct
DZ time
37.3%