PuckSleuth
51

San Jose Sharks · Right wing · Shoots R

Collin Graf

Age 24 · 6'1" · 190 lb · Born in Lincoln, USA

Cap hit

$4.25M

4.1% of $104M cap

Term

3 yrs

Through 2028-29, then RFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$878K

vs. $5.128M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

0

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

0

0.00 per game

TOI/GP

16:48

PP 0:00 · PK 3:11

xGF%

30.5

5v5, -16.3 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.08

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

1 W · 3 L

Plus/minus

0

Blocks 1 · Hits 1

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 1
vs FLA · W 4-3
0001116:480:003:111-3—000-0.08
Apr 16
@ WPG · W 6-1
1020017:331:132:13—5012+1+0.39
Apr 15
@ CHI · L 5-2
0013015:250:003:27—7501-1-0.28
Apr 13
@ NSH · W 3-2
0111016:300:001:34—5000+1+0.15
Apr 11
vs VAN · OTL 4-3
0021012:430:002:23—5010+1-0.21

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,042 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%46.9%

30th percentile

Relative xGF%-0.7

46th percentile

HDCF%51.6%

64th percentile

CF%44.3%

10th percentile

Relative CF%-4.0

18th percentile

FF%44.0%

9th percentile

GF%50.0%

51st percentile

CF/6047.5

8th percentile

CA/6059.8

32nd percentile

ixG/601.05

59th percentile

Goals above expected+2.7

83rd percentile

IPP76.2%

86th percentile

PDO102.5

82nd percentile

OZS%57.5%

67th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play stylePossession winger

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Graf excels at controlling the puck and maintaining possession with elite hands, but struggles to generate volume or create dangerous chances. He plays a steady, low-event game where he manages plays cleanly without translating that into scoring opportunities.

Puck controllerConservative scorerPossession-focused
Shooting volume
14
Playmaking
56
Zone entries(est.)
13
Forechecking
41
Physicality
46
Defensive impact
23
Puck management
91
Speed
73

Where he shoots from

Slot 68% · Mid-range 23% · Perimeter 9%(167 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Elite puck management at 91st percentile keeps possession flowing
  • Strong speed at 73rd percentile helps him skate into danger
  • Solid playmaking at 56th percentile provides secondary scoring

Watch-outs

  • Extremely low shooting volume at 14th percentile limits goal potential
  • Weak zone entries at 13th percentile means few scoring chances generated
  • Defensive impact ranks 23rd, showing limited two-way engagement

Similar style: Taylor Raddysh, Matthew Knies (CBJ)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 81 GP · goals above average

Season total +2.1 goals, or +0.03 per game.

Even strength offense
-0.4
Even strength defense
-0.7
Power play
-0.4
Penalty kill
+0.3
Finishing
+2.8
Playmaking
-0.8
Penalties
+1.3
Faceoffs
-0.1

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2026-27SJS10000016:48—-0.08
2025-26SJS81212546+611816:27—+0.03
2024-25SJS335611-44015:52—-0.06
2023-24SJS7022-4716:36—-0.30

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 24, forwards typically produce 100% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 26, when the typical level is 98%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.9 mph
82nd pct
20+ mph bursts
123
Hardest shot
78.8 mph
18th pct
Distance
205.9 mi
OZ time
37.4%
4th pct
DZ time
45.0%