PuckSleuth
63

Florida Panthers · Left wing · Shoots L

Brad Marchand

Age 38 · 5'9" · 180 lb · Born in Halifax, CAN

Cap hit

$5.25M

5.0% of $104M cap

Term

5 yrs

Through 2030-31, then UFA

Clause

NMC

Surplus value

—

arrives with the trade tools

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2025-26 regular season

GP

52

Goals

27

19.6% shooting

Assists

27

14 primary

Points

54

1.04 per game

TOI/GP

17:44

PP 3:43 · PK 1:02

xGF%

48.6

5v5, 0 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.23

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

1 W · 7 L

Plus/minus

-16

Blocks 16 · Hits 36

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Mar 6
@ DET · W 3-1
0110011:533:500:00—50110-0.39
Mar 5
@ CBJ · L 4-2
0010012:392:130:00—6710-3-0.13
Mar 3
@ NJD · L 5-1
0012014:123:010:00—3311-1-0.62
Mar 1
@ NYI · L 5-4
0010016:141:190:00—2500+1-0.14
Feb 27
vs BUF · L 3-2
0140016:104:430:00—25100+0.04

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 615 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%48.6%

45th percentile

Relative xGF%-4.2

22nd percentile

HDCF%51.2%

63rd percentile

CF%50.0%

59th percentile

Relative CF%-2.4

28th percentile

FF%48.0%

38th percentile

GF%45.2%

34th percentile

CF/6063.6

85th percentile

CA/6063.7

11th percentile

ixG/601.80

95th percentile

Goals above expected+8.5

96th percentile

IPP78.8%

90th percentile

PDO99.3

44th percentile

OZS%51.1%

47th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleOffensive finisher and facilitator

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Marchand generates chances at an elite rate through high-volume shooting and smart passing, but his declining speed and forechecking limit his ability to drive play in transition. He plays a more perimeter-based offensive game while offering minimal defensive contribution at this stage.

High-volume shooterPlaymakerOffensive-minded
Shooting volume
92
Playmaking
82
Zone entries(est.)
17
Forechecking
29
Physicality
17
Defensive impact
0
Puck management
22
Speed
71

Where he shoots from

Slot 42% · Mid-range 39% · Perimeter 19%(216 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Elite shooting volume at 92nd percentile drives consistent scoring chances
  • Strong playmaking at 82nd percentile creates opportunities for teammates
  • Above-average speed at 71st percentile helps create separation for shots

Watch-outs

  • Weak rush chances at 17th percentile limits transition opportunities
  • Minimal forechecking at 29th percentile reduces defensive engagement
  • Negligible defensive impact at bottom tier limits all-around contribution

Similar style: Jack Quinn (BUF), Nikita Kucherov (TBL)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 52 GP · goals above average

Season total +11.9 goals, or +0.23 per game.

Even strength offense
+1.0
Even strength defense
-1.4
Power play
+0.5
Penalty kill
+0.7
Finishing
+8.6
Playmaking
+1.6
Penalties
+0.9
Faceoffs
-0.1

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2025-26FLA52272754-1613817:44—+0.23
2024-25BOS, FLA71232851-719418:19—-0.03
2023-24BOS82293867+220719:0643.6%+0.08
2022-23BOS73214667+2718318:3238.6%+0.17

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

How players at his position age, and where his contract falls on that curve, arrives with the trade tools.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.4 mph
59th pct
20+ mph bursts
104
Hardest shot
83.9 mph
43rd pct
Distance
151.2 mi
OZ time
46.0%
94th pct
DZ time
36.3%