PuckSleuth
86

Tampa Bay Lightning · Right wing · Shoots L

Nikita Kucherov

Age 33 · 5'11" · 172 lb · Born in Maykop, RUS

Cap hit

$9.5M

9.1% of $104M cap

Term

1 yr

Through 2026-27, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

—

arrives with the trade tools

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

1

100.0% shooting

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

1

1.00 per game

TOI/GP

24:07

PP 9:38 · PK 0:00

xGF%

59.5

5v5, +2.5 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.31

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

Plus/minus

-1

Blocks 1 · Hits 0

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 1
@ NYR · L 5-1
1010124:079:380:00—8041-1+0.31
May 3
vs MTL · L 2-1
0030120:161:570:00—7110-1-0.15
May 1
@ MTL · W 1-0
0061022:505:100:00—78410-1.30
Apr 29
vs MTL · L 3-2
0081021:444:360:00—38300-0.53
Apr 26
@ MTL · W 3-2
0230022:579:240:00—10000+1+0.81

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,110 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%56.9%

94th percentile

Relative xGF%+4.2

83rd percentile

HDCF%62.5%

97th percentile

CF%56.2%

93rd percentile

Relative CF%+4.8

93rd percentile

FF%55.9%

93rd percentile

GF%64.2%

97th percentile

CF/6068.2

94th percentile

CA/6053.2

80th percentile

ixG/601.79

95th percentile

Goals above expected+10.9

98th percentile

IPP80.2%

92nd percentile

PDO104.6

96th percentile

OZS%67.3%

90th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleElite playmaking winger

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Kucherov is a pass-first creator operating at the highest level of playmaking skill, generating chances for others while maintaining strong volume and accuracy in his own shot. His game relies entirely on finesse and positioning, as he avoids physical engagement and struggles with transition speed and ball security.

Elite playmakerShot volumeFinesse-based
Shooting volume
94
Playmaking
99
Zone entries(est.)
28
Forechecking
17
Physicality
8
Defensive impact
5
Puck management
1
Speed
68

Where he shoots from

Slot 27% · Mid-range 54% · Perimeter 18%(378 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • 99th percentile playmaking makes him a chance-creation machine
  • 94th percentile shooting volume ensures consistent offensive threat
  • 56.9% xG share shows dominant 5v5 control

Watch-outs

  • 1st percentile puck management leads to turnovers and mistakes
  • 17th percentile forechecking means limited penalty-killing value
  • 8th percentile physicality shows zero net-front or grinding ability

Similar style: Brad Marchand (FLA), Jack Quinn (BUF)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 76 GP · goals above average

Season total +32.7 goals, or +0.43 per game.

Even strength offense
+3.4
Even strength defense
-0.3
Power play
+0.6
Finishing
+11.0
Playmaking
+16.5
Penalties
+1.5

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2026-27TBL1101-1124:07—+0.31
2025-26TBL764486130+4323120:20—+0.43
2024-25TBL783784121+2226521:11—+0.41
2023-24TBL8144100144+830621:40—+0.41
2022-23TBL823083113-227120:08—+0.22

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

How players at his position age, and where his contract falls on that curve, arrives with the trade tools.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.4 mph
61st pct
20+ mph bursts
138
Hardest shot
92.1 mph
90th pct
Distance
244.0 mi
OZ time
45.7%
92nd pct
DZ time
35.7%