PuckSleuth
90

Nashville Predators · Center · Shoots L

Ryan O'Reilly

Age 35 · 6'1" · 207 lb · Born in Clinton, CAN

Cap hit

$4.5M

4.3% of $104M cap

Term

1 yr

Through 2026-27, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$3.994M

vs. $8.494M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

0

0.00 per game

TOI/GP

21:31

PP 4:42 · PK 3:30

xGF%

35.9

5v5, -15.4 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.37

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

13 W · 9 L

Plus/minus

0

Blocks 0 · Hits 2

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 1
vs MIN · L 3-1
0042021:314:423:3013-950200-0.37
Apr 16
vs ANA · L 5-4
0101121:552:565:239-8010+1+0.29
Apr 13
vs SJS · L 3-2
0041022:092:000:379-55002-1-0.59
Apr 11
vs MIN · W 2-1
0111321:354:320:004-56701+1-0.50
Apr 9
@ UTA · L 4-1
0020019:532:441:596-46000-2-0.38

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,141 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%51.3%

65th percentile

Relative xGF%+5.4

90th percentile

HDCF%55.5%

80th percentile

CF%52.6%

79th percentile

Relative CF%+3.5

86th percentile

FF%50.5%

61st percentile

GF%55.9%

79th percentile

CF/6060.5

72nd percentile

CA/6054.5

74th percentile

ixG/601.29

76th percentile

Goals above expected+0.5

64th percentile

IPP73.7%

79th percentile

PDO102.3

80th percentile

OZS%49.1%

39th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play stylePass-first center

Trait percentiles vs. NHL centers · 2025-26

O'Reilly is a cerebral, high-volume playmaker who controls the puck and distributes from anywhere on the ice. He generates chances through positioning and vision rather than pace or physical intensity, playing a cerebral, low-shooting game.

PlaymakingPuck controlVeteran distributor
Shooting volume
40
Playmaking
93
Zone entries(est.)
60
Forechecking
8
Physicality
13
Defensive impact
54
Puck management
98
Speed
35

Where he shoots from

Slot 71% · Mid-range 22% · Perimeter 7%(230 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Elite playmaking and puck management at 93rd and 98th percentiles drive consistent production
  • Efficient on the rush with 60th percentile zone entries despite 35th percentile speed
  • Slot shots at 71% of unblocked chances show smart positioning near the net

Watch-outs

  • Forechecking and physicality rank 8th and 13th percentiles, limiting defensive engagement
  • Shooting volume at 40th percentile means he defers when he should shoot more
  • Speed at 35th percentile constrains his ability to create through pure pace

Similar style: Tanner Laczynski, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (EDM)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 81 GP · goals above average

Season total +9.6 goals, or +0.12 per game.

Even strength offense
+0.9
Even strength defense
-0.4
Power play
+0.7
Penalty kill
+0.3
Finishing
+0.6
Playmaking
+6.3
Penalties
-0.2
Faceoffs
+1.4

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2026-27NSH10000421:31—-0.37
2025-26NSH81254974+815420:2455.1%+0.12
2024-25NSH79213253-2315118:5955.7%-0.02
2023-24NSH82264369+618019:4653.9%+0.02
2022-23STL, TOR53161430-2110217:5655.8%+0.06

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 35, forwards typically produce 56% of their peak (age 24).

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.1 mph
45th pct
20+ mph bursts
72
Hardest shot
84.8 mph
50th pct
Distance
265.8 mi
OZ time
44.6%
82nd pct
DZ time
37.5%