PuckSleuth
93

Edmonton Oilers · Center · Shoots L

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Age 33 · 6'0" · 190 lb · Born in Burnaby, CAN

Cap hit

$5.125M

4.9% of $104M cap

Term

3 yrs

Through 2028-29, then UFA

Clause

NMC

Surplus value

—

arrives with the trade tools

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2025-26 regular season

GP

72

Goals

20

15.0% shooting

Assists

36

21 primary

Points

56

0.78 per game

TOI/GP

19:04

PP 3:32 · PK 1:21

xGF%

52.1

5v5, -2.1 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.08

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

47.4

172 W · 191 L

Plus/minus

-9

Blocks 31 · Hits 25

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Apr 30
@ ANA · L 5-2
0020115:570:000:007-86011-2-0.34
Apr 28
vs ANA · W 4-1
0213018:575:230:005-33300+2+0.37
Apr 26
@ ANA · OTL 4-3
1010217:391:002:121-063100+0.61
Apr 24
@ ANA · L 7-4
1031217:162:551:29—100010+0.56
Apr 22
vs ANA · L 6-4
0100018:246:481:411-16720-1-0.23

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 946 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%52.1%

71st percentile

Relative xGF%+0.4

54th percentile

HDCF%58.1%

88th percentile

CF%49.3%

51st percentile

Relative CF%-1.3

37th percentile

FF%48.7%

44th percentile

GF%44.9%

33rd percentile

CF/6059.9

71st percentile

CA/6061.6

20th percentile

ixG/601.16

68th percentile

Goals above expected+1.7

78th percentile

IPP55.0%

23rd percentile

PDO97.6

26th percentile

OZS%60.5%

74th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleHigh-volume playmaker

Trait percentiles vs. NHL centers · 2025-26

Nugent-Hopkins runs the offense through elite playmaking and puck control, setting up chances at a high rate. He struggles with physical engagement and forechecking intensity, making him better suited to orchestrate from deep than drive play in tight areas.

PlaymakerSkilled passerOffensive engine
Shooting volume
48
Playmaking
83
Zone entries(est.)
42
Forechecking
6
Physicality
4
Defensive impact
16
Puck management
77
Speed
51

Where he shoots from

Slot 55% · Mid-range 34% · Perimeter 11%(201 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • 83rd percentile playmaking creates multiple chances per game
  • 77th percentile puck management keeps possession flowing smoothly
  • Strong slot shot selection (55%) maximizes scoring chances

Watch-outs

  • 6th percentile forechecking effort limits defensive involvement
  • 4th percentile physicality means minimal board battles or net-front play
  • 42nd percentile rush chances suggest slower transition initiator

Similar style: Anthony Cirelli (TBL), Wyatt Johnston (DAL)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 72 GP · goals above average

Season total +5.9 goals, or +0.08 per game.

Even strength offense
+1.4
Even strength defense
-0.6
Power play
+2.9
Penalty kill
-1.1
Finishing
+1.7
Playmaking
+2.5
Penalties
-0.8
Faceoffs
-0.2

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2025-26EDM72203656-913319:0447.4%+0.08
2024-25EDM78202949+416418:5848.5%+0.02
2023-24EDM80184967+1018319:3748.0%+0.03
2022-23EDM823767104+1220119:4845.2%+0.17

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

How players at his position age, and where his contract falls on that curve, arrives with the trade tools.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.8 mph
76th pct
20+ mph bursts
63
Hardest shot
88.5 mph
73rd pct
Distance
212.7 mi
OZ time
46.0%
94th pct
DZ time
37.7%