PuckSleuth
95

Dallas Stars · Center · Shoots L

Matt Duchene

Age 35 · 5'11" · 211 lb · Born in Haliburton, CAN

Cap hit

$4.5M

4.3% of $104M cap

Term

3 yrs

Through 2028-29, then UFA

Clause

NMC

Surplus value

—

arrives with the trade tools

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2025-26 regular season

GP

57

Goals

16

18.0% shooting

Assists

29

21 primary

Points

45

0.79 per game

TOI/GP

16:31

PP 2:19 · PK 0:01

xGF%

47.6

5v5, -4 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.13

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

52.2

266 W · 244 L

Plus/minus

-3

Blocks 23 · Hits 29

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Apr 30
@ MIN · L 5-2
0100019:032:260:003-46720-3-0.42
Apr 28
vs MIN · L 4-2
0100120:525:570:003-25011-1-0.18
Apr 25
@ MIN · OTL 3-2
0230121:332:440:003-567100+0.58
Apr 22
@ MIN · W 4-3
1221127:3910:400:009-53810+1+1.27
Apr 20
vs MIN · W 4-2
1110016:174:550:004-567000+0.80

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 734 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%47.6%

36th percentile

Relative xGF%-5.6

15th percentile

HDCF%49.1%

50th percentile

CF%45.2%

16th percentile

Relative CF%-4.3

17th percentile

FF%45.2%

15th percentile

GF%50.0%

51st percentile

CF/6049.2

14th percentile

CA/6059.7

33rd percentile

ixG/601.18

69th percentile

Goals above expected+1.6

77th percentile

IPP54.3%

22nd percentile

PDO102.0

78th percentile

OZS%60.3%

73rd percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleElite playmaking center

Trait percentiles vs. NHL centers · 2025-26

Duchene is a pass-first operator who creates chances at an elite level, distributing the puck with precision and vision that few centers in the league match. He's not a driver of play through forechecking or physicality, and his lack of personal shot volume limits his offensive ceiling despite his extraordinary playmaking ability.

Elite playmakerSlot finisherPass-first
Shooting volume
42
Playmaking
96
Zone entries(est.)
47
Forechecking
21
Physicality
16
Defensive impact
7
Puck management
9
Speed
32

Where he shoots from

Slot 64% · Mid-range 29% · Perimeter 8%(133 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • 96th percentile playmaking with 29 assists in 57 games
  • 64% of his unblocked shots from high-danger slot area
  • 47.6% xGF share maintains competitive play despite limited defensive contributions

Watch-outs

  • 7th percentile defensive impact, minimal backchecking presence
  • 16th percentile physicality keeps him out of board battles
  • 42nd percentile shot volume means others must finish his setups

Similar style: Tyler Seguin (DAL), Casey Mittelstadt (BOS)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 57 GP · goals above average

Season total +7.5 goals, or +0.13 per game.

Even strength offense
-0.3
Even strength defense
-0.3
Power play
+0.5
Finishing
+1.7
Playmaking
+5.0
Penalties
+0.8
Faceoffs
+0.2

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2025-26DAL57162945-38916:3152.2%+0.13
2024-25DAL82305282+1315217:0952.4%+0.19
2023-24DAL80254065+1517216:4656.5%+0.11
2022-23NSH71223456+416818:1952.9%+0.02

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

How players at his position age, and where his contract falls on that curve, arrives with the trade tools.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
21.6 mph
22nd pct
20+ mph bursts
67
Hardest shot
84.2 mph
45th pct
Distance
149.0 mi
OZ time
42.9%
60th pct
DZ time
38.6%