PuckSleuth
Andrei Vasilevskiy88

Tampa Bay Lightning · Goalie · Catches L

Andrei Vasilevskiy

Age 32 · 6'4" · 220 lb · Born in Tyumen, RUS

Cap hit

$9.5M

9.1% of $104M cap

Term

2 yrs

Through 2027-28, then UFA

Clause

M-NTC

Surplus value

+$642K

vs. $10.142M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

1 starts

Record

0-1-0

SV%

.833

GAA

4.30

Shots against

24

GSAx

-1.3

goals saved above expected

Game Score

-1.34

per game

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameDecSASVGASV%TOIxGAGSAxHD savesGS
Oct 1@ NYR · L 5-1L24204.83355:522.66-1.343/4-1.34
May 3vs MTL · L 2-1L972.77857:300.95-1.050/0-1.05
May 1@ MTL · W 1-0W303001.00069:034.19+4.196/6+4.19
Apr 29vs MTL · L 3-2L24213.87557:272.45-0.552/4-0.55
Apr 26@ MTL · W 3-2W18162.88960:003.01+1.011/2+1.01

Dec = decision (W, L, OTL; ND = started, no decision). HD saves = high-danger shots on goal stopped. GS = our Game Score.

Advanced metrics

2025-26 · 58 GP · 3,431 min · percentile vs. NHL goalies

SV%.912

96th percentile

GSAx+22.5

96th percentile

GSAx/60+0.39

89th percentile

HDSV%.799

100th percentile

HD GSAx+16.9

100th percentile

5v5 GSAx+5.9

79th percentile

EV SV%.913

77th percentile

Quality start %72.4%

94th percentile

Really bad start %10.3%

99th percentile

xGA/602.70

27th percentile

Expected goals come from our own model and rate every unblocked shot he faced by its chance of going in. High-danger shots are those worth 0.15 expected goals or more. Percentiles compare him with goalies who played 600 minutes that season. xGA/60 shows how hard his workload was, so its bar is grey.

Play styleElite workhorse starter

Trait percentiles vs. NHL goalies · 2025-26

The numbers show a top-tier starter who stands out on dangerous chances, shorthanded saves and night-to-night consistency, and who also rates above average on everyday saves and rebound control. No trait falls near the weak end, so the profile is a complete, dependable goalie.

Big-save stalwartPK standoutVery consistentClean reboundsStarter
High-danger saves
94
Routine saves
64
Rebound control
77
5-on-5 saves
71
PK saves
96
Consistency
94
Workload
96

Strengths

  • High-danger saves rank in the 94th percentile, with 0.799 save % on 219 shots.
  • PK save % sits in the 96th percentile when his team is shorthanded.
  • Quality starts land at the 94th percentile, with 72% of starts rated quality.

Watch-outs

  • Routine saves are his lowest trait at the 64th percentile, still above average.
  • Overall save % of 0.912 is solid but less eye-catching than his goals saved above expected (+22.5).

Similar style: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (BUF), Jet Greaves (CBJ)

Built from play-by-play and our expected goals model, compared with goalies who have 600+ minutes in the season.

Where his Game Score comes from

2026-27 · 1 GP

Season total -1.3, or -1.34 per game.

Goaltending
-1.3

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGSWLOTLSV%GAASOSAGAGSAx
2014-15Tampa Bay Lightning1613751.9182.36141534—
2015-16Tampa Bay Lightning242111100.9102.76164658—
2016-17Tampa Bay Lightning504723177.9172.6121480123—
2017-18Tampa Bay Lightning656444173.9202.6282075167—
2018-19Tampa Bay Lightning535339104.9252.4061713128—
2019-20Tampa Bay Lightning525235143.9172.5631605133—
2020-21Tampa Bay Lightning424231101.9252.215123793—
2021-22Tampa Bay Lightning636339185.9162.4921868156—
2022-23Tampa Bay Lightning606034224.9152.6541875159+20.1
2023-24Tampa Bay Lightning525230202.9002.9021477148-11.4
2024-25Tampa Bay Lightning636338205.9212.1861716136+21.5
2025-26Tampa Bay Lightning585839154.9122.3121483132+22.5
2026-27Tampa Bay Lightning22110.8892.590455-1.3
Career13 seasons60059037117939.9172.5042176351472

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team. GSAx (goals saved above expected) is ours, from our expected goals model.

Usage

Last game: @ NYR, Oct 1

Started in net last game.

From the NHL's shift chart.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +0.26 per game over these 10.

Age curve

NHL goalies · production index

202937

At 32, goalies typically produce 100% of their peak (age 26). His contract runs through age 33, when the typical level is 100%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

2 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27TBL$9.5M9.1%
2027-28TBL$9.5M8.4%

UFA after 2027-28. M-NTC. $19M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).