PuckSleuth
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Tampa Bay Lightning · Center · Shoots R

Brayden Point

Age 30 · 5'11" · 174 lb · Born in Calgary, CAN

Cap hit

$9.5M

9.1% of $104M cap

Term

4 yrs

Through 2029-30, then UFA

Clause

NMC

Surplus value

−$18K

vs. $9.482M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

1

0 primary

Points

1

1.00 per game

TOI/GP

22:38

PP 9:29 · PK 0:03

xGF%

47.1

5v5, -7.5 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.61

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

3 W · 7 L

Plus/minus

-1

Blocks 1 · Hits 0

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 1
@ NYR · L 5-1
0110122:389:290:033-78010-1-0.61
May 3
vs MTL · L 2-1
0021015:061:570:004-480000-0.53
May 1
@ MTL · W 1-0
0011117:215:160:003-2100000-0.36
Apr 29
vs MTL · L 3-2
0010021:174:250:005-63301+1-0.46
Apr 26
@ MTL · W 3-2
0030019:578:570:003-510010+1-0.36

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 846 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%54.6%

83rd percentile

Relative xGF%+0.6

56th percentile

HDCF%56.1%

82nd percentile

CF%52.3%

76th percentile

Relative CF%-0.6

45th percentile

FF%51.4%

70th percentile

GF%61.0%

93rd percentile

CF/6060.5

73rd percentile

CA/6055.3

69th percentile

ixG/601.55

88th percentile

Goals above expected-3.9

12th percentile

IPP62.3%

41st percentile

PDO105.7

98th percentile

OZS%70.4%

94th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleElite playmaking speedster

Trait percentiles vs. NHL centers · 2025-26

Point is a razor-quick center who creates chances through elite playmaking and blazing speed. He prioritizes skilled passing over physical engagement and defensive responsibility.

High-speed playmakerSlot-focused shooterOffensive engine
Shooting volume
65
Playmaking
87
Zone entries(est.)
36
Forechecking
2
Physicality
0
Defensive impact
21
Puck management
65
Speed
96

Where he shoots from

Slot 71% · Mid-range 24% · Perimeter 5%(188 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Elite playmaking (87th percentile) generates chances from speed and vision
  • Exceptional speed (96th percentile) creates separation and rushing opportunities
  • High-volume slot shooting (71%) keeps pressure inside scoring areas

Watch-outs

  • Forechecking (2nd percentile) limits ability to reclaim pucks in deep areas
  • Minimal physicality (0th percentile) leaves him vulnerable in contested situations
  • Limited rush chances (36th percentile) suggests fewer transition opportunities created

Similar style: Mathew Barzal, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (EDM)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 63 GP · goals above average

Season total +0.7 goals, or +0.01 per game.

Even strength offense
+1.3
Even strength defense
+0.1
Power play
+0.2
Penalty kill
+0.1
Finishing
-3.8
Playmaking
+2.8
Penalties
+0.6
Faceoffs
-0.6

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2026-27TBL1011-1122:38—-0.61
2025-26TBL63183250+1212918:1545.8%+0.01
2024-25TBL77424082+1718919:2948.5%+0.22
2023-24TBL81464490-1622720:0245.7%+0.24
2022-23TBL82514495+223519:4050.7%+0.27

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 30, forwards typically produce 84% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 33, when the typical level is 69%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
23.5 mph
94th pct
20+ mph bursts
315
Hardest shot
77.3 mph
13th pct
Distance
188.5 mi
OZ time
44.8%
83rd pct
DZ time
36.9%