PuckSleuth
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Winnipeg Jets · Left wing · Shoots L

Kyle Connor

Age 29 · 6'1" · 183 lb · Born in Shelby Township, USA

Cap hit

$12M

11.5% of $104M cap

Term

8 yrs

Through 2033-34, then UFA

Clause

NMC

Surplus value

−$215K

vs. $11.785M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2025-26 regular season

GP

82

Goals

39

14.2% shooting

Assists

53

33 primary

Points

92

1.12 per game

TOI/GP

21:30

PP 3:06 · PK 1:03

xGF%

48.5

5v5, -4.1 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.15

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

0 W · 1 L

Plus/minus

-2

Blocks 19 · Hits 36

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Apr 16
vs SJS · L 6-1
0070118:184:110:56—6700-2-1.42
Apr 14
@ UTA · L 5-3
1162120:523:503:17—010-1+0.64
Apr 13
@ VGK · L 6-2
0131121:256:443:55—010-2+0.27
Apr 11
vs PHI · L 7-1
0020019:313:150:42—8000-2-0.16
Apr 9
@ STL · W 3-2
0060020:561:282:18——00+1-0.33

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,299 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%48.5%

44th percentile

Relative xGF%+1.7

68th percentile

HDCF%45.5%

28th percentile

CF%49.2%

51st percentile

Relative CF%+0.7

59th percentile

FF%48.9%

46th percentile

GF%50.7%

58th percentile

CF/6055.6

49th percentile

CA/6057.4

51st percentile

ixG/601.54

88th percentile

Goals above expected+4.7

91st percentile

IPP73.0%

77th percentile

PDO101.7

74th percentile

OZS%71.4%

95th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleElite playmaking winger

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Connor is a high-volume passer who creates chances at an elite level, rarely getting physical and struggling to generate rush opportunities or impact defense. He compensates with high shot volume and strong puck control, making him a pure offensive driver in open ice rather than a forechecking or transition player.

Elite playmakerShot volumePerimeter game
Shooting volume
86
Playmaking
93
Zone entries(est.)
5
Forechecking
10
Physicality
2
Defensive impact
7
Puck management
67
Speed
64

Where he shoots from

Slot 41% · Mid-range 49% · Perimeter 10%(392 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Playmaking ranks 93rd percentile, setting up high-quality chances
  • Shooting volume at 86th percentile, generating consistent offensive pressure
  • Puck management in 67th percentile keeps possession in tight areas

Watch-outs

  • Rush chances near 5th percentile, limiting transition offense creation
  • Physicality at 2nd percentile means he avoids board battles entirely
  • Forechecking at 10th percentile, offering minimal defensive support forward

Similar style: Lucas Raymond (DET), Brad Marchand (FLA)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 82 GP · goals above average

Season total +12.6 goals, or +0.15 per game.

Even strength offense
+0.5
Even strength defense
-1.2
Penalty kill
+0.6
Finishing
+4.9
Playmaking
+6.2
Penalties
+1.7

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2025-26WPG82395392-227421:30—+0.15
2024-25WPG82415697+1726720:24—+0.21
2023-24WPG65342761-622119:43—+0.09
2022-23WPG82314980-1127320:32—+0.07

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 29, forwards typically produce 89% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 36, when the typical level is 49%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.2 mph
46th pct
20+ mph bursts
162
Hardest shot
90.9 mph
87th pct
Distance
293.0 mi
OZ time
43.4%
68th pct
DZ time
39.1%