PuckSleuthCap hit
$7.143M
6.9% of $104M cap
Term
4 yrs
Through 2029-30, then UFA
Clause
M-NTC
5-team no-trade list
Surplus value
+$2.286M
vs. $9.428M market estimate
Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source
2026-27 regular season
GP
1
Goals
0
0.0% shooting
Assists
0
0 primary
Points
0
0.00 per game
TOI/GP
19:46
PP 4:22 · PK 0:00
xGF%
65.4
5v5, +14.9 vs. last yr
Game Score
-0.82
per game, goals above average
Faceoff %
—
6 W · 8 L
Plus/minus
0
Blocks 0 · Hits 1
Game log
Last 5 games · NHL API
| Game | G | A | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI | PP | PK | FO | OZS% | GV | TK | +/- | GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 @ CBJ · L 6-3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19:46 | 4:22 | 0:00 | 6-8 | 100 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.82 |
| May 18 vs MTL · OTL 3-2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21:56 | 0:49 | 0:00 | 0-5 | 92 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -0.64 |
| May 16 @ MTL · W 8-3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18:14 | 4:17 | 0:00 | 2-2 | 33 | 2 | 0 | +3 | +1.13 |
| May 14 vs MTL · L 6-3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20:05 | 3:01 | 0:00 | 2-9 | 100 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -0.81 |
| May 12 @ MTL · W 3-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19:14 | 3:12 | 0:09 | 8-8 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.58 |
GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.
Advanced metrics
5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,162 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards
61st percentile
47th percentile
32nd percentile
60th percentile
67th percentile
56th percentile
62nd percentile
73rd percentile
29th percentile
93rd percentile
94th percentile
89th percentile
68th percentile
74th percentile
xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.
Play styleElite volume scorer
Trait percentiles vs. NHL centers · 2025-26
Thompson is a relentless shooting threat from all distances who creates chances at an elite rate, but struggles to transition the puck into the offensive zone and can be caught out of position defensively. His high-volume, perimeter-heavy approach generates results despite modest support on the forecheck and in transition.
- Shooting volume
- 100
- Playmaking
- 91
- Zone entries(est.)
- 14
- Forechecking
- 38
- Physicality
- 39
- Defensive impact
- 21
- Puck management
- 61
- Speed
- 81
Where he shoots from
Slot 32% · Mid-range 50% · Perimeter 17%(415 unblocked shots)
Strengths
- Leads all centers in shooting volume with elite frequency and accuracy
- Exceptional playmaking at 91st percentile creates secondary chances regularly
- Above-average puck speed and transition skills keep plays moving forward
Watch-outs
- Struggles to generate rush chances, entering the zone at only 14th percentile
- Defensive impact ranks among lowest centers at 21st percentile
- Below-average forechecking intensity limits puck recovery opportunities
Similar style: Carter Verhaeghe (FLA), Mathew Barzal
Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.
Where his Game Score comes from
2025-26 · 81 GP · goals above average
Season total +13.2 goals, or +0.16 per game.
- Even strength offense
- +0.9
- Even strength defense
- -0.7
- Power play
- -0.3
- Penalty kill
- +0.1
- Finishing
- +7.0
- Playmaking
- +4.9
- Penalties
- +2.1
- Faceoffs
- -0.8
Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.
By season
Regular season
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | TOI/GP | FO% | GS/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | BUF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:46 | — | -0.82 |
| 2025-26 | BUF | 81 | 40 | 41 | 81 | -6 | 272 | 19:15 | 45.5% | +0.16 |
| 2024-25 | BUF | 76 | 44 | 28 | 72 | -2 | 242 | 18:45 | 42.8% | +0.23 |
| 2023-24 | BUF | 71 | 29 | 27 | 56 | -1 | 246 | 18:07 | 43.3% | +0.04 |
| 2022-23 | BUF | 78 | 47 | 47 | 94 | +4 | 295 | 18:35 | 43.1% | +0.23 |
Sentiment & chatter
Fans
—
Beat writers
—
Media
—
Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.
Age curve
NHL forwards · production index
At 28, forwards typically produce 93% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 31, when the typical level is 80%.
From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.
Skating · NHL EDGE
2025-26, as of Oct 2
- Top speed
- 22.9 mph
- 80th pct
- 20+ mph bursts
- 176
- Hardest shot
- 97.9 mph
- 99th pct
- Distance
- 240.7 mi
- OZ time
- 44.4%
- 78th pct
- DZ time
- 37.9%