PuckSleuth
21

Dallas Stars · Left wing · Shoots L

Jason Robertson

Age 27 · 6'3" · 204 lb · Born in Arcadia, USA

Cap hit

$12M

11.5% of $104M cap

Term

1 yr

Through 2026-27, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

—

arrives with the trade tools

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2025-26 regular season

GP

82

Goals

45

15.3% shooting

Assists

51

24 primary

Points

96

1.17 per game

TOI/GP

20:15

PP 3:52 · PK 0:02

xGF%

55.1

5v5, +2.5 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.18

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

1 W · 2 L

Plus/minus

+22

Blocks 34 · Hits 48

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Apr 30
@ MIN · L 5-2
0020124:452:260:00—10000-2-0.26
Apr 28
vs MIN · L 4-2
1151024:076:010:00—67100+0.88
Apr 25
@ MIN · OTL 3-2
1070025:132:440:00—67100+0.22
Apr 22
@ MIN · W 4-3
1252029:0510:540:00—3800+1+0.64
Apr 20
vs MIN · W 4-2
1050116:364:550:00—67010+0.49

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,215 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%55.1%

87th percentile

Relative xGF%+5.8

93rd percentile

HDCF%56.8%

84th percentile

CF%51.2%

69th percentile

Relative CF%+5.6

95th percentile

FF%51.3%

68th percentile

GF%61.5%

93rd percentile

CF/6058.1

64th percentile

CA/6055.4

67th percentile

ixG/601.91

97th percentile

Goals above expected+6.3

94th percentile

IPP71.9%

73rd percentile

PDO103.4

89th percentile

OZS%56.2%

61st percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleElite offensive scorer

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Robertson is a prolific shot-taker who generates elite scoring chances through relentless volume, but struggles with the dirty work of forechecking and puck retrieval. He wins with offensive dominance and playmaking, not two-way completeness.

High-volume scorerSlot sniperPlaymaker
Shooting volume
97
Playmaking
77
Zone entries(est.)
23
Forechecking
14
Physicality
14
Defensive impact
26
Puck management
13
Speed
47

Where he shoots from

Slot 49% · Mid-range 37% · Perimeter 14%(423 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Shooting volume at 97th percentile makes him a constant scoring threat with 423 unblocked shots
  • Playmaking at 77th percentile provides secondary scoring chances for linemates
  • Slot positioning at 49% of shots puts him in prime scoring areas

Watch-outs

  • Forechecking at 14th percentile limits his ability to retrieve pucks in defensive zones
  • Puck management at 13th percentile leads to turnovers and loose possession
  • Rush chances at 23rd percentile means he doesn't consistently create offensive entry momentum

Similar style: Michael Bunting, Nikita Kucherov (TBL)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 82 GP · goals above average

Season total +14.9 goals, or +0.18 per game.

Even strength offense
+1.9
Even strength defense
+0.3
Power play
+2.5
Finishing
+6.5
Playmaking
+2.3
Penalties
+1.3

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2025-26DAL82455196+2229420:15—+0.18
2024-25DAL82354580+1021117:48—+0.20
2023-24DAL82295180+1923118:19—+0.15
2022-23DAL824663109+3731318:50—+0.36

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

How players at his position age, and where his contract falls on that curve, arrives with the trade tools.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.7 mph
72nd pct
20+ mph bursts
61
Hardest shot
90.2 mph
84th pct
Distance
257.0 mi
OZ time
45.5%
90th pct
DZ time
36.9%