PuckSleuth
Cole Koepke45

Winnipeg Jets · Left wing · Shoots L

Cole Koepke

Age 28 · 6'1" · 207 lb · Born in Two Harbors, USA

Cap hit

$1.45M

1.4% of $104M cap

Term

2 yrs

Through 2027-28, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$1.283M

vs. $2.733M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2025-26 regular season

GP

66

Goals

8

9.3% shooting

Assists

9

5 primary

Points

17

0.26 per game

TOI/GP

10:28

PP 0:01 · PK 1:47

xGF%

40.9

5v5, -5.5 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.37

per game

Faceoff %

—

0 W · 2 L

Plus/minus

+1

Blocks 19 · Hits 186

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Apr 16
vs SJS · L 6-1
1022111:520:001:53—10010+1+1.44
Apr 14
@ UTA · L 5-3
0004112:460:004:17—50000+0.29
Apr 13
@ VGK · L 6-2
0012216:060:007:12—67200+0.01
Apr 11
vs PHI · L 7-1
0132013:370:071:37—7511+1+1.18
Apr 9
@ STL · W 3-2
0013111:460:003:48—100010+0.17

GS = our Game Score (credit for everything he did; goals and assists count most). FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 553 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%40.9%

6th percentile

Relative xGF%-7.9

9th percentile

HDCF%36.5%

5th percentile

CF%46.5%

24th percentile

Relative CF%-2.6

27th percentile

FF%46.6%

24th percentile

GF%51.4%

61st percentile

CF/6053.7

36th percentile

CA/6061.7

19th percentile

ixG/600.98

54th percentile

Goals above expected-1.1

42nd percentile

IPP84.2%

96th percentile

PDO101.3

68th percentile

OZS%38.1%

15th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleSpeed-and-effort forward

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Cole Koepke is an explosive skater who leads the rush and dominates the forecheck with relentless physicality. He struggles to generate offense and defend effectively, making him a high-energy depth piece rather than a scoring threat.

Elite speedPhysical forecheckLimited offense
Shooting volume
64
Playmaking
34
Zone entries(est.)
94
Forechecking
91
Physicality
92
Defensive impact
15
Puck management
79
Speed
98

Where he shoots from

Slot 46% · Mid-range 36% · Perimeter 18%(128 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Elite speed ranks 98th percentile, enabling constant attacking pressure
  • Exceptional rush chances creation at 94th percentile drives offensive chances
  • Dominant physicality and forechecking (92nd and 91st) create puck turnovers

Watch-outs

  • Defensive impact sits just 15th percentile, a real liability at even strength
  • Playmaking at 34th percentile limits offensive returns from his rush chances
  • Scoring inconsistency, managing only 8 goals in 66 games despite high volume

Similar style: Lawson Crouse (UTA), Carl Grundstrom (PHI)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 66 GP

Season total +24.4, or +0.37 per game.

Scoring
+13.5
Shooting
+6.5
5-on-5 goals
+0.1
Defense
-0.6
Penalty kill
-0.1
Physical play
+4.7
Puck battles
-0.8
Penalties
+1.1

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGPPPSHGGWGSOGS%TOIFO%GS/GP
2022-23Tampa Bay Lightning17101-520000128.39:06—+0.15
2023-24Tampa Bay Lightning902200000090.06:42—+0.29
2024-25Boston Bruins7310717+11700028511.811:15—+0.35
2025-26Winnipeg Jets668917+1160011869.310:28—+0.37
Career4 seasons165191837-33500131929.910:28—

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team. GS/GP is our Game Score per game.

Usage

Last game: vs BOS, Oct 2

Not on a regular line last game.

From the NHL's shift chart.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

No news about him in the last 30 days.

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +0.49 per game over these 10.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
24.2 mph
99th pct
20+ mph bursts
189
Hardest shot
89.7 mph
82nd pct
Distance
111.2 mi
OZ time
36.8%
2nd pct
DZ time
46.4%

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 28, forwards typically produce 93% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 29, when the typical level is 89%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

2 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27WPG$1.45M1.4%
2027-28WPG$1.45M1.3%

UFA after 2027-28. $2.9M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).