PuckSleuth
Matt Coronato27

Calgary Flames · Right wing · Shoots R

Matt Coronato

Age 23 · 5'10" · 183 lb · Born in Greenlawn, USA

Cap hit

$6.5M

6.3% of $104M cap

Term

6 yrs

Through 2031-32, then UFA

Clause

M-NTC

10-team no-trade list

Surplus value

+$223K

vs. $6.723M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

3

Goals

1

14.3% shooting

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

1

0.33 per game

TOI/GP

17:28

PP 1:54 · PK 0:04

Plus/minus

-6

Hits

0

Blocks 2

PIM

0

Game Score

+0.40

per game

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 4
@ SEA · L 6-1
0050122:022:500:006-282010+0.73
Oct 3
@ VAN · L 4-1
1010116:481:430:002-210000-4+0.83
Oct 1
vs SEA · L 6-1
0010013:341:090:126-310010-2-0.35
Apr 16
vs LAK · W 3-1
0122019:244:080:093-244000+0.59
Apr 12
vs UTA · W 4-1
1030017:285:180:102-310011+1+1.19

GS = our Game Score (credit for everything he did; goals and assists count most). FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,034 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%45.2%

20th percentile

Relative xGF%-1.8

38th percentile

HDCF%42.2%

17th percentile

CF%49.4%

52nd percentile

Relative CF%+0.2

54th percentile

FF%48.0%

37th percentile

GF%40.7%

19th percentile

CF/6061.7

79th percentile

CA/6063.2

13th percentile

ixG/601.35

79th percentile

Goals above expected-5.2

7th percentile

IPP74.3%

81st percentile

PDO97.6

25th percentile

OZS%53.0%

53rd percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleRush-attack winger

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Coronato is a high-volume shooter who excels at carrying the puck into the zone with speed and translating chances into attempts from dangerous areas. He struggles significantly in the physical and defensive aspects of the game, rarely engaging in forechecking or winning battles away from his scoring areas.

Rush attackerHigh-volume shooterTransition threat
Shooting volume
84
Playmaking
60
Zone entries(est.)
86
Forechecking
4
Physicality
3
Defensive impact
5
Puck management
63
Speed
62

Where he shoots from

Slot 40% · Mid-range 46% · Perimeter 14%(289 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Exceptional shot volume and rush entry ability (84th and 86th percentile)
  • Strong shot selection with 40% of attempts from the dangerous slot area
  • Decent puck handling and playmaking foundation (63rd and 60th percentile)

Watch-outs

  • Minimal forechecking impact limits utility away from offensive chances (4th percentile)
  • Very low physicality engagement, rarely involved in board play (3rd percentile)
  • Weak defensive play suggests limited all-around game development (5th percentile)

Similar style: William Nylander (TOR), Brandon Saad

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIM
2014-15QC Int PWLong Island Stars3022—2
2015-16WSI U14East Coast Selects O U146145—2
2016-17AYHL 14UNew Jersey Colonials 14U AAA21182947—2
2016-17WSI U15East Coast Selects O U157011—0
2016-17 (playoffs)AYHL 14UNew Jersey Colonials 14U AAA6246—0
2017-18OHL CupElite Hockey Group4235+52
2017-18AYHL 16ULong Island Gulls 16U AAA22192443—6
2018-19USA-S16Team Kelly4235—0
2018-19USHS-PrepSalisbury School30151732——
2018-19BEAST 16UYale Jr. Bulldogs 16U AAA8448—4
2019-20USA-S17Team Royal5325—0
2019-20USHLChicago Steel45182240+2069
2020-21USHLChicago Steel51483785+3757
2020-21 (playoffs)USHLChicago Steel89413+114
2021-22NCAAHarvard Univ.34181836+1114
2021-22WJC-20USA U205437+40
2022-23NHLCalgary Flames1000+12
2022-23NCAAHarvard Univ.34201636+2414
2022-23WCUSA10358+52
2023-24NHLCalgary Flames34369-154
2023-24AHLCalgary Wranglers41152742+619
2023-24 (playoffs)AHLCalgary Wranglers6156+10
2024-25NHLCalgary Flames77242347+625
2024-25AHLCalgary Wranglers2202+22
2025-26NHLCalgary Flames80182745-2932
2026-27NHLCalgary Flames3101-60

Every league he has played in, from the NHL's records, regular season and playoffs.

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +0.51 per game over these 10.

Where his Game Score comes from

+0.56 per game

2025-26 · 80 GP

Season total +44.6, or +0.56 per game.

Scoring
+34.5
Shooting
+14.8
5-on-5 goals
-2.4
Defense
-1.5
Physical play
+1.6
Puck battles
-1.9
Penalties
-0.2
Faceoffs
-0.4

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2026-27, as of Oct 5

Top speed
19.9 mph
10th pct
20+ mph bursts
0
Hardest shot
84.6 mph
88th pct
Distance
8.5 mi
OZ time
47.3%
83rd pct
DZ time
34.1%

Usage

Last 3 games this season

Line 2 with Morgan Frost and Matvei Gridin (7:01 together per game at 5-on-5) · PP1

From the NHL's shift charts, averaged over this season's last 10 games.

Age curve

At 23: 99% of peak

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 23, forwards typically produce 99% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 28, when the typical level is 93%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

6 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27CGY$6.5M6.3%
2027-28CGY$6.5M5.7%
2028-29CGY$6.5M—
2029-30CGY$6.5M—
2030-31CGY$6.5M—
2031-32CGY$6.5M—

UFA after 2031-32. M-NTC (10-team list). $39M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).