New York Rangers · Right wing · Shoots R

Jaroslav Chmelar

Age 23 · 6'5" · 238 lb · Born in Nove Mesto nad Metuji, CZE

Cap hit

$925K

0.9% of $104M cap

Term

1 yr

Through 2026-27, then RFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

—

needs 40 recent games

Contract details from our records; public announcement not yet matched

2026-27 regular season

Goals

0.0% shooting

Assists

0 primary

Points

0.00 per game

TOI/GP

6:18

PP 0:00 · PK 0:00

xGF%

51.1

5v5, +4.4 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.23

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

Plus/minus

Blocks 0 · Hits 1

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

Game	SOG	HIT	BLK	TOI	PP	PK	FO	OZS%	GV	TK	+/-	GS
Oct 1 vs TBL · W 5-1	1	1	0	6:18	0:00	0:00	—	—	0	0	0	-0.23
Apr 15 @ TBL · W 4-2	1	4	1	13:26	0:00	0:00	—	50	0	0	0	-0.26
Apr 13 @ FLA · L 3-2	0	2	2	10:33	0:00	0:00	—	100	1	0	0	-0.11
Apr 11 @ DAL · L 2-0	2	2	1	11:12	0:01	0:00	—	100	0	1	0	-0.25
Apr 8 vs BUF · L 5-3	0	1	0	11:15	0:00	0:00	—	0	0	0	-1	-0.08

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 252 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%46.7%

29th percentile

Relative xGF%-2.5

31st percentile

HDCF%46.4%

33rd percentile

CF%47.6%

34th percentile

Relative CF%-1.6

34th percentile

FF%47.6%

34th percentile

GF%44.4%

31st percentile

CF/6052.1

27th percentile

CA/6057.4

51st percentile

ixG/600.54

8th percentile

Goals above expected+1.7

78th percentile

IPP75.0%

82nd percentile

PDO98.7

36th percentile

OZS%55.6%

58th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleForechecking power forward

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Chmelar is a tireless, physical presence who dominates puck management and wins battles with his speed and strength. He rarely creates offense himself and struggles to generate chances, making him a complementary depth player reliant on teammates.

PhysicalPuck houndLow volume scorer

Shooting volume: 6
Playmaking: 0
Zone entries(est.): 16
Forechecking: 81
Physicality: 89
Defensive impact: 60
Puck management: 100
Speed: 91

Where he shoots from

Slot 50% · Mid-range 39% · Perimeter 11%(28 unblocked shots)

Strengths

Elite puck control and retention in his hands at the 100th percentile
Exceptional forechecking pressure at the 81st percentile limits opponent possession
Top-tier speed and physicality combine to drive physical play at 89th and 91st percentiles

Watch-outs

Almost no playmaking ability at the 0th percentile limits lineup flexibility
Below-average rush chance creation at the 16th percentile restricts own-team offense
Low shooting volume at the 6th percentile means minimal direct goal contribution

Similar style: Mathieu Joseph (EDM), Landon Slaggert

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 28 GP · goals above average

Season total +1.1 goals, or +0.04 per game.

Even strength offense: -0.3
Even strength defense: +0.1
Finishing: +1.8
Playmaking: -1.5
Penalties: +1.1

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	TOI/GP	FO%	GS/GP
2026-27	NYR	1	0	0	0	0	1	6:18	—	-0.23
2025-26	NYR	28	4	2	6	-2	23	9:09	—	+0.04

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 23, forwards typically produce 99% of their peak (age 24).

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed: 23.3 mph; 91st pct
20+ mph bursts: 66
Hardest shot: 80.7 mph; 23rd pct
Distance: 41.5 mi
OZ time: 39.7%; 17th pct
DZ time: 42.7%