PuckSleuth
Morgan Rielly44

Toronto Maple Leafs · Defense · Shoots L

Morgan Rielly

Age 32 · 6'1" · 224 lb · Born in Vancouver, CAN

Cap hit

$7.5M

7.2% of $104M cap

Term

4 yrs

Through 2029-30, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$68K

vs. $7.568M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

2

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

2

1 primary

Points

2

1.00 per game

TOI/GP

20:40

PP 2:27 · PK 1:14

xGF%

57.9

5v5, +11.3 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.65

per game

Faceoff %

—

Plus/minus

-1

Blocks 1 · Hits 2

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Sep 30
vs NYI · W 2-1
0110119:493:180:50—33110+0.64
Sep 29
vs MTL · L 3-2
0112021:301:361:38—6710-1+0.67
Apr 15
@ OTT · L 3-1
0011120:031:320:55—71200+0.24
Apr 13
vs DAL · L 6-5
0010117:570:121:30—3310-1-0.35
Apr 11
vs FLA · L 6-2
0012220:130:000:56—7110-2+0.04

GS = our Game Score (credit for everything he did; goals and assists count most). FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,307 min · percentile vs. NHL defensemen

xGF%46.6%

28th percentile

Relative xGF%+1.6

68th percentile

HDCF%47.4%

39th percentile

CF%48.0%

38th percentile

Relative CF%+4.7

92nd percentile

FF%47.8%

33rd percentile

GF%46.2%

34th percentile

CF/6059.4

72nd percentile

CA/6064.3

8th percentile

ixG/600.36

87th percentile

Goals above expected+3.1

90th percentile

IPP38.8%

69th percentile

PDO100.2

54th percentile

OZS%67.1%

97th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleOffensive rushing defenseman

Trait percentiles vs. NHL defensemen · 2025-26

Rielly generates offense through high shooting volume and elite speed to create rush chances, but he plays a perimeter-heavy style and struggles to limit scoring chances against. His forechecking effort doesn't fully compensate for below-average defensive positioning and physicality.

Rush creatorHigh volume shooterPerimeter focused
Shooting volume
88
Playmaking
59
Zone entries(est.)
76
Forechecking
70
Physicality
28
Defensive impact
17
Puck management
45
Speed
86

Where he shoots from

Slot 11% · Mid-range 35% · Perimeter 54%(221 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Elite speed at 86th percentile fuels transition chances and offensive entries
  • High shot volume at 88th percentile drives offensive pressure from the blue line
  • Strong rush chance creation at 76th percentile creates odd-man opportunities

Watch-outs

  • Defensive impact at 17th percentile shows difficulty limiting opponent scoring chances
  • Low physicality at 28th percentile limits ability to win battles and protect space
  • Perimeter shot distribution at 54% indicates reluctance to drive net-front chances

Similar style: Brandon Montour (SEA), Mikhail Sergachev (UTA)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 78 GP

Season total +34.3, or +0.44 per game.

Scoring
+25.5
Shooting
+10.6
5-on-5 goals
-1.6
Defense
-1.8
Penalty kill
-0.3
Physical play
+6.4
Puck battles
-3.3
Penalties
-1.1

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIM
2008-09Minor-SKNotre Dame43414384—10
2008-09 (playoffs)SAAHL U15Notre Dame Hounds U15 AA64812—2
2009-10SMHLNotre Dame43183755—20
2009-10 (playoffs)SMHLNotre Dame13729—0
2009-10 (playoffs)Tel-CupNotre Dame7123—12
2010-11WHLMoose Jaw6562228-1521
2010-11 (playoffs)WHLMoose Jaw6066-30
2011-12WHLMoose Jaw1831518+62
2011-12 (playoffs)WHLMoose Jaw5033-10
2012-13WHLMoose Jaw60124254-819
2012-13WJC-ACanada6123+20
2012-13AHLToronto14123-10
2012-13 (playoffs)AHLToronto8101-20
2013-14NHLToronto Maple Leafs7322527-1312
2013-14WC-ACanada7123+30
2014-15NHLToronto Maple Leafs8182129-1614
2015-16NHLToronto Maple Leafs8292736-1728
2015-16WC-ACanada10123+72
2016-17NHLToronto Maple Leafs7662127-2021
2016-17WCupTeam North America311200
2016-17 (playoffs)NHLToronto Maple Leafs6145+12
2017-18NHLToronto Maple Leafs7664652-414
2017-18 (playoffs)NHLToronto Maple Leafs7055-24
2018-19NHLToronto Maple Leafs82205272+2414
2018-19 (playoffs)NHLToronto Maple Leafs714500
2019-20NHLToronto Maple Leafs4732427+624
2019-20 (playoffs)NHLToronto Maple Leafs5101-12
2020-21NHLToronto Maple Leafs5553035+1114
2020-21 (playoffs)NHLToronto Maple Leafs7123+30
2021-22NHLToronto Maple Leafs82105868+1640
2021-22 (playoffs)NHLToronto Maple Leafs7336017
2022-23NHLToronto Maple Leafs6543741-921
2022-23 (playoffs)NHLToronto Maple Leafs114812+116
2023-24NHLToronto Maple Leafs7275158+727
2023-24 (playoffs)NHLToronto Maple Leafs7033+20
2024-25NHLToronto Maple Leafs8273441-821
2024-25 (playoffs)NHLToronto Maple Leafs13437-24
2025-26NHLToronto Maple Leafs78112536-1829
2026-27NHLToronto Maple Leafs3033-20

Every league he has played in, from the NHL's records, regular season and playoffs.

Usage

Last game: vs NYI, Sep 30

Pair 1 with Darren Raddysh (12:59 together at 5-on-5) · PP2

From the NHL's shift chart.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +0.51 per game over these 10.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2026-27, as of Oct 2

Top speed
19.4 mph
38th pct
20+ mph bursts
0
Hardest shot
41.8 mph
5th pct
Distance
5.8 mi
OZ time
44.2%
73rd pct
DZ time
37.9%

Age curve

NHL defensemen · production index

202937

At 32, defensemen typically produce 81% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 35, when the typical level is 67%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

4 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27TOR$7.5M7.2%
2027-28TOR$7.5M6.6%
2028-29TOR$7.5M—
2029-30TOR$7.5M—

UFA after 2029-30. $30M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).